analysis_gov_regulation_impact/Stringency_Component_total_cases_deaths.ipynb

{
 "cells": [
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 1,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# Import the dependencies\n",
    "\n",
    "import numpy as np\n",
    "import pandas as pd\n",
    "import re\n",
    "\n",
    "from matplotlib import pyplot as plt\n",
    "from sklearn.metrics import r2_score\n",
    "\n",
    "from datetime import timedelta,datetime\n",
    "\n",
    "import sys\n",
    "from path import Path\n",
    "\n",
    "# import plotly.graph_objects as go"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 2,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# Import the user-defined ml class\n",
    "\n",
    "class_path = Path(\"../classes/pmmfs_ml\")\n",
    "sys.path.append(class_path)\n",
    "from ml import ml"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 3,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# Load the datasets from CSV file\n",
    "# Note: This will be converted to database in the final version of this file.\n",
    "\n",
    "path_GR = \"Resources/raw/OxCGRT_latest(Aug31,2020).csv\"   # Government Response\n",
    "path_CD = \"Resources/raw/owid-covid-data(Aug31,2020).csv\"   # COVID Data"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 4,
   "metadata": {
    "scrolled": true
   },
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stderr",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "/home/sami/anaconda3/envs/mlenv2/lib/python3.7/site-packages/IPython/core/interactiveshell.py:3146: DtypeWarning: Columns (2,3) have mixed types.Specify dtype option on import or set low_memory=False.\n",
      "  interactivity=interactivity, compiler=compiler, result=result)\n"
     ]
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "data_GR = pd.read_csv(path_GR)    #Government Response\n",
    "data_CD = pd.read_csv(path_CD)"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 5,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# Drop rows from Government response for individual regions for CountryCodes USA and GBR\n",
    "\n",
    "data_GR = data_GR[data_GR[[\"RegionName\"]].isnull().values].copy()"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 6,
   "metadata": {
    "scrolled": true
   },
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stderr",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "/home/sami/anaconda3/envs/mlenv2/lib/python3.7/site-packages/ipykernel_launcher.py:8: SettingWithCopyWarning: \n",
      "A value is trying to be set on a copy of a slice from a DataFrame.\n",
      "Try using .loc[row_indexer,col_indexer] = value instead\n",
      "\n",
      "See the caveats in the documentation: https://pandas.pydata.org/pandas-docs/stable/user_guide/indexing.html#returning-a-view-versus-a-copy\n",
      "  \n"
     ]
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       "<p>45140 rows × 21 columns</p>\n",
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      ],
      "text/plain": [
       "           Date CountryCode  C1_School closing  C1_Flag  C2_Workplace closing  \\\n",
       "0      20200101         ABW                0.0      NaN                   0.0   \n",
       "1      20200102         ABW                0.0      NaN                   0.0   \n",
       "2      20200103         ABW                0.0      NaN                   0.0   \n",
       "3      20200104         ABW                0.0      NaN                   0.0   \n",
       "4      20200105         ABW                0.0      NaN                   0.0   \n",
       "...         ...         ...                ...      ...                   ...   \n",
       "58799  20200827         ZWE                NaN      NaN                   NaN   \n",
       "58800  20200828         ZWE                NaN      NaN                   NaN   \n",
       "58801  20200829         ZWE                NaN      NaN                   NaN   \n",
       "58802  20200830         ZWE                NaN      NaN                   NaN   \n",
       "58803  20200831         ZWE                NaN      NaN                   NaN   \n",
       "\n",
       "       C2_Flag  C3_Cancel public events  C3_Flag  \\\n",
       "0          NaN                      0.0      NaN   \n",
       "1          NaN                      0.0      NaN   \n",
       "2          NaN                      0.0      NaN   \n",
       "3          NaN                      0.0      NaN   \n",
       "4          NaN                      0.0      NaN   \n",
       "...        ...                      ...      ...   \n",
       "58799      NaN                      NaN      NaN   \n",
       "58800      NaN                      NaN      NaN   \n",
       "58801      NaN                      NaN      NaN   \n",
       "58802      NaN                      NaN      NaN   \n",
       "58803      NaN                      NaN      NaN   \n",
       "\n",
       "       C4_Restrictions on gatherings  C4_Flag  ...  C5_Flag  \\\n",
       "0                                0.0      NaN  ...      NaN   \n",
       "1                                0.0      NaN  ...      NaN   \n",
       "2                                0.0      NaN  ...      NaN   \n",
       "3                                0.0      NaN  ...      NaN   \n",
       "4                                0.0      NaN  ...      NaN   \n",
       "...                              ...      ...  ...      ...   \n",
       "58799                            NaN      NaN  ...      NaN   \n",
       "58800                            NaN      NaN  ...      NaN   \n",
       "58801                            NaN      NaN  ...      NaN   \n",
       "58802                            NaN      NaN  ...      NaN   \n",
       "58803                            NaN      NaN  ...      NaN   \n",
       "\n",
       "       C6_Stay at home requirements  C6_Flag  \\\n",
       "0                               0.0      NaN   \n",
       "1                               0.0      NaN   \n",
       "2                               0.0      NaN   \n",
       "3                               0.0      NaN   \n",
       "4                               0.0      NaN   \n",
       "...                             ...      ...   \n",
       "58799                           NaN      NaN   \n",
       "58800                           NaN      NaN   \n",
       "58801                           NaN      NaN   \n",
       "58802                           NaN      NaN   \n",
       "58803                           NaN      NaN   \n",
       "\n",
       "       C7_Restrictions on internal movement  C7_Flag  \\\n",
       "0                                       0.0      NaN   \n",
       "1                                       0.0      NaN   \n",
       "2                                       0.0      NaN   \n",
       "3                                       0.0      NaN   \n",
       "4                                       0.0      NaN   \n",
       "...                                     ...      ...   \n",
       "58799                                   NaN      NaN   \n",
       "58800                                   NaN      NaN   \n",
       "58801                                   NaN      NaN   \n",
       "58802                                   NaN      NaN   \n",
       "58803                                   NaN      NaN   \n",
       "\n",
       "       C8_International travel controls  H1_Public information campaigns  \\\n",
       "0                                   0.0                              0.0   \n",
       "1                                   0.0                              0.0   \n",
       "2                                   0.0                              0.0   \n",
       "3                                   0.0                              0.0   \n",
       "4                                   0.0                              0.0   \n",
       "...                                 ...                              ...   \n",
       "58799                               NaN                              NaN   \n",
       "58800                               NaN                              NaN   \n",
       "58801                               NaN                              NaN   \n",
       "58802                               NaN                              NaN   \n",
       "58803                               NaN                              NaN   \n",
       "\n",
       "       H1_Flag  E1_Income support  E1_Flag  \n",
       "0          NaN                0.0      NaN  \n",
       "1          NaN                0.0      NaN  \n",
       "2          NaN                0.0      NaN  \n",
       "3          NaN                0.0      NaN  \n",
       "4          NaN                0.0      NaN  \n",
       "...        ...                ...      ...  \n",
       "58799      NaN                NaN      NaN  \n",
       "58800      NaN                NaN      NaN  \n",
       "58801      NaN                NaN      NaN  \n",
       "58802      NaN                NaN      NaN  \n",
       "58803      NaN                NaN      NaN  \n",
       "\n",
       "[45140 rows x 21 columns]"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 6,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Load the Stringency and Income support columns\n",
    "\n",
    "df_GR = data_GR[['Date','CountryCode',]]\n",
    "stringency_columns = [ x for x in data_GR if re.search(\"C\\d|H1\",x)]\n",
    "income_support = [x for x in data_GR if re.search(\"E1\",x)]\n",
    "\n",
    "for x in stringency_columns + income_support:\n",
    "    df_GR[x] = data_GR[x]\n",
    "    \n",
    "df_GR"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 7,
   "metadata": {
    "scrolled": true
   },
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "Date                                        0\n",
       "CountryCode                                 0\n",
       "C1_School closing                        1166\n",
       "C1_Flag                                 18029\n",
       "C2_Workplace closing                     1268\n",
       "C2_Flag                                 20349\n",
       "C3_Cancel public events                  1204\n",
       "C3_Flag                                 17224\n",
       "C4_Restrictions on gatherings            1235\n",
       "C4_Flag                                 19101\n",
       "C5_Close public transport                1076\n",
       "C5_Flag                                 28457\n",
       "C6_Stay at home requirements             1237\n",
       "C6_Flag                                 23086\n",
       "C7_Restrictions on internal movement     1125\n",
       "C7_Flag                                 23855\n",
       "C8_International travel controls         1187\n",
       "H1_Public information campaigns          1667\n",
       "H1_Flag                                  9947\n",
       "E1_Income support                        2154\n",
       "E1_Flag                                 25658\n",
       "dtype: int64"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 7,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Count the number of nulls in each column of the government dataframe\n",
    "\n",
    "df_GR.isnull().sum()"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 8,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "3.0    20243\n",
      "0.0    16863\n",
      "2.0     5814\n",
      "1.0     1054\n",
      "Name: C1_School closing, dtype: int64\n",
      "1.0    24094\n",
      "0.0     3017\n",
      "Name: C1_Flag, dtype: int64\n",
      "0.0    19081\n",
      "2.0    14554\n",
      "3.0     6254\n",
      "1.0     3983\n",
      "Name: C2_Workplace closing, dtype: int64\n",
      "1.0    19734\n",
      "0.0     5057\n",
      "Name: C2_Flag, dtype: int64\n",
      "2.0    24004\n",
      "0.0    16020\n",
      "1.0     3912\n",
      "Name: C3_Cancel public events, dtype: int64\n",
      "1.0    25151\n",
      "0.0     2765\n",
      "Name: C3_Flag, dtype: int64\n",
      "0.0    17866\n",
      "4.0    12469\n",
      "3.0     9677\n",
      "2.0     3139\n",
      "1.0      754\n",
      "Name: C4_Restrictions on gatherings, dtype: int64\n",
      "1.0    22667\n",
      "0.0     3372\n",
      "Name: C4_Flag, dtype: int64\n",
      "0.0    27381\n",
      "1.0     9272\n",
      "2.0     7411\n",
      "Name: C5_Close public transport, dtype: int64\n",
      "1.0    12282\n",
      "0.0     4401\n",
      "Name: C5_Flag, dtype: int64\n",
      "0.0    21849\n",
      "2.0    10715\n",
      "1.0     8905\n",
      "3.0     2434\n",
      "Name: C6_Stay at home requirements, dtype: int64\n",
      "1.0    16532\n",
      "0.0     5522\n",
      "Name: C6_Flag, dtype: int64\n",
      "0.0    22730\n",
      "2.0    15807\n",
      "1.0     5478\n",
      "Name: C7_Restrictions on internal movement, dtype: int64\n",
      "1.0    12912\n",
      "0.0     8373\n",
      "Name: C7_Flag, dtype: int64\n",
      "4.0    15989\n",
      "0.0    10263\n",
      "3.0    10003\n",
      "2.0     4669\n",
      "1.0     3029\n",
      "Name: C8_International travel controls, dtype: int64\n",
      "2.0    31588\n",
      "0.0     8280\n",
      "1.0     3605\n",
      "Name: H1_Public information campaigns, dtype: int64\n",
      "1.0    34863\n",
      "0.0      330\n",
      "Name: H1_Flag, dtype: int64\n",
      "0.0    23504\n",
      "1.0    11638\n",
      "2.0     7844\n",
      "Name: E1_Income support, dtype: int64\n",
      "1.0    10935\n",
      "0.0     8547\n",
      "Name: E1_Flag, dtype: int64\n"
     ]
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Show the values in each of the Stringency and Income Support columns\n",
    "\n",
    "for x in df_GR.columns:\n",
    "    if re.search(\"C\\d|H1|E1\",x):\n",
    "        print(df_GR[x].value_counts())"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 9,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# Handle missing values in the government response dataframe with zeros\n",
    "\n",
    "df_GR = df_GR.fillna(0)"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 10,
   "metadata": {
    "scrolled": true
   },
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# Handle missing values in the COVID data dataframes\n",
    "\n",
    "df_CD_1 = data_CD[[\"date\",\"iso_code\",\"population\",\"population_density\",'median_age',\"total_cases\",\"total_deaths\"]]\n",
    "df_CD_1 = df_CD_1.dropna()\n",
    "df_CD_2 = data_CD[[\"date\",\"iso_code\",\"new_cases\",\"new_deaths\"]]\n",
    "df_CD_2 = df_CD_2.fillna(0)"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 11,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# Merge the COVID data dataframes\n",
    "\n",
    "df_CD = df_CD_1.merge(df_CD_2,on=[\"date\",\"iso_code\"])"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 12,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/html": [
       "<div>\n",
       "<style scoped>\n",
       "    .dataframe tbody tr th:only-of-type {\n",
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       "    }\n",
       "\n",
       "    .dataframe tbody tr th {\n",
       "        vertical-align: top;\n",
       "    }\n",
       "\n",
       "    .dataframe thead th {\n",
       "        text-align: right;\n",
       "    }\n",
       "</style>\n",
       "<table border=\"1\" class=\"dataframe\">\n",
       "  <thead>\n",
       "    <tr style=\"text-align: right;\">\n",
       "      <th></th>\n",
       "      <th>date</th>\n",
       "      <th>iso_code</th>\n",
       "      <th>population</th>\n",
       "      <th>population_density</th>\n",
       "      <th>median_age</th>\n",
       "      <th>total_cases</th>\n",
       "      <th>total_deaths</th>\n",
       "      <th>new_cases</th>\n",
       "      <th>new_deaths</th>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "  </thead>\n",
       "  <tbody>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>0</th>\n",
       "      <td>2020-03-13</td>\n",
       "      <td>ABW</td>\n",
       "      <td>106766.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>584.8</td>\n",
       "      <td>41.2</td>\n",
       "      <td>2.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>2.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>1</th>\n",
       "      <td>2020-03-20</td>\n",
       "      <td>ABW</td>\n",
       "      <td>106766.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>584.8</td>\n",
       "      <td>41.2</td>\n",
       "      <td>4.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>2.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>2</th>\n",
       "      <td>2020-03-24</td>\n",
       "      <td>ABW</td>\n",
       "      <td>106766.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>584.8</td>\n",
       "      <td>41.2</td>\n",
       "      <td>12.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>8.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>3</th>\n",
       "      <td>2020-03-25</td>\n",
       "      <td>ABW</td>\n",
       "      <td>106766.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>584.8</td>\n",
       "      <td>41.2</td>\n",
       "      <td>17.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>5.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>4</th>\n",
       "      <td>2020-03-26</td>\n",
       "      <td>ABW</td>\n",
       "      <td>106766.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>584.8</td>\n",
       "      <td>41.2</td>\n",
       "      <td>19.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>2.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "  </tbody>\n",
       "</table>\n",
       "</div>"
      ],
      "text/plain": [
       "         date iso_code  population  population_density  median_age  \\\n",
       "0  2020-03-13      ABW    106766.0               584.8        41.2   \n",
       "1  2020-03-20      ABW    106766.0               584.8        41.2   \n",
       "2  2020-03-24      ABW    106766.0               584.8        41.2   \n",
       "3  2020-03-25      ABW    106766.0               584.8        41.2   \n",
       "4  2020-03-26      ABW    106766.0               584.8        41.2   \n",
       "\n",
       "   total_cases  total_deaths  new_cases  new_deaths  \n",
       "0          2.0           0.0        2.0         0.0  \n",
       "1          4.0           0.0        2.0         0.0  \n",
       "2         12.0           0.0        8.0         0.0  \n",
       "3         17.0           0.0        5.0         0.0  \n",
       "4         19.0           0.0        2.0         0.0  "
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 12,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "df_CD.head()"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 13,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "(35174, 9)"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 13,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "df_CD.shape"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 14,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "date                  0\n",
       "iso_code              0\n",
       "population            0\n",
       "population_density    0\n",
       "median_age            0\n",
       "total_cases           0\n",
       "total_deaths          0\n",
       "new_cases             0\n",
       "new_deaths            0\n",
       "dtype: int64"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 14,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Handle nulls in the total deaths and total cases columns\n",
    "\n",
    "codes = df_CD[\"iso_code\"].unique()\n",
    "\n",
    "iso_dfs = []\n",
    "\n",
    "total_cases_col = 2\n",
    "tota_deaths_col = 3\n",
    "\n",
    "# For each country code in the COVID data\n",
    "for code in codes:\n",
    "    # Isolate the dataframe for that country\n",
    "    iso_df = df_CD[df_CD[\"iso_code\"] == code]\n",
    "    \n",
    "    # If the total cases in the first row is null, set it to 0\n",
    "    if np.isnan(iso_df.iloc[0,total_cases_col]):\n",
    "        iso_df.iloc[0,total_cases_col] = 0\n",
    "    # IF the total deaths in the first row is null, set it to 0 \n",
    "    if np.isnan(iso_df.iloc[0,tota_deaths_col]):\n",
    "        iso_df.iloc[0,tota_deaths_col] = 0\n",
    "    \n",
    "    # Forward fill the remaining missing values\n",
    "    iso_df = iso_df.fillna(method='ffill')\n",
    "        \n",
    "    # Add the country dataframe to the completed list\n",
    "    iso_dfs.append(iso_df)\n",
    "\n",
    "# Recreate the COVID data frame by concatenating all country dataframes\n",
    "df_CD = pd.DataFrame()\n",
    "\n",
    "for iso_df in iso_dfs:\n",
    "    df_CD = df_CD.append(iso_df)\n",
    "        \n",
    "df_CD.isnull().sum()"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 15,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/html": [
       "<div>\n",
       "<style scoped>\n",
       "    .dataframe tbody tr th:only-of-type {\n",
       "        vertical-align: middle;\n",
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       "\n",
       "    .dataframe tbody tr th {\n",
       "        vertical-align: top;\n",
       "    }\n",
       "\n",
       "    .dataframe thead th {\n",
       "        text-align: right;\n",
       "    }\n",
       "</style>\n",
       "<table border=\"1\" class=\"dataframe\">\n",
       "  <thead>\n",
       "    <tr style=\"text-align: right;\">\n",
       "      <th></th>\n",
       "      <th>date</th>\n",
       "      <th>iso_code</th>\n",
       "      <th>population</th>\n",
       "      <th>population_density</th>\n",
       "      <th>median_age</th>\n",
       "      <th>total_cases</th>\n",
       "      <th>total_deaths</th>\n",
       "      <th>new_cases</th>\n",
       "      <th>new_deaths</th>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "  </thead>\n",
       "  <tbody>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>0</th>\n",
       "      <td>2020-03-13</td>\n",
       "      <td>ABW</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.067660e+05</td>\n",
       "      <td>584.800</td>\n",
       "      <td>41.2</td>\n",
       "      <td>2.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>2.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>1</th>\n",
       "      <td>2020-03-20</td>\n",
       "      <td>ABW</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.067660e+05</td>\n",
       "      <td>584.800</td>\n",
       "      <td>41.2</td>\n",
       "      <td>4.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>2.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>2</th>\n",
       "      <td>2020-03-24</td>\n",
       "      <td>ABW</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.067660e+05</td>\n",
       "      <td>584.800</td>\n",
       "      <td>41.2</td>\n",
       "      <td>12.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>8.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>3</th>\n",
       "      <td>2020-03-25</td>\n",
       "      <td>ABW</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.067660e+05</td>\n",
       "      <td>584.800</td>\n",
       "      <td>41.2</td>\n",
       "      <td>17.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>5.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>4</th>\n",
       "      <td>2020-03-26</td>\n",
       "      <td>ABW</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.067660e+05</td>\n",
       "      <td>584.800</td>\n",
       "      <td>41.2</td>\n",
       "      <td>19.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>2.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>...</th>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>35169</th>\n",
       "      <td>2020-08-27</td>\n",
       "      <td>OWID_WRL</td>\n",
       "      <td>7.794799e+09</td>\n",
       "      <td>58.045</td>\n",
       "      <td>30.9</td>\n",
       "      <td>24201449.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>825936.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>276699.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>6297.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>35170</th>\n",
       "      <td>2020-08-28</td>\n",
       "      <td>OWID_WRL</td>\n",
       "      <td>7.794799e+09</td>\n",
       "      <td>58.045</td>\n",
       "      <td>30.9</td>\n",
       "      <td>24484672.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>832011.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>283223.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>6075.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>35171</th>\n",
       "      <td>2020-08-29</td>\n",
       "      <td>OWID_WRL</td>\n",
       "      <td>7.794799e+09</td>\n",
       "      <td>58.045</td>\n",
       "      <td>30.9</td>\n",
       "      <td>24761119.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>837466.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>276447.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>5455.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>35172</th>\n",
       "      <td>2020-08-30</td>\n",
       "      <td>OWID_WRL</td>\n",
       "      <td>7.794799e+09</td>\n",
       "      <td>58.045</td>\n",
       "      <td>30.9</td>\n",
       "      <td>25029850.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>843154.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>268731.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>5688.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>35173</th>\n",
       "      <td>2020-08-31</td>\n",
       "      <td>OWID_WRL</td>\n",
       "      <td>7.794799e+09</td>\n",
       "      <td>58.045</td>\n",
       "      <td>30.9</td>\n",
       "      <td>25251334.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>846841.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>221484.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>3687.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "  </tbody>\n",
       "</table>\n",
       "<p>35174 rows × 9 columns</p>\n",
       "</div>"
      ],
      "text/plain": [
       "             date  iso_code    population  population_density  median_age  \\\n",
       "0      2020-03-13       ABW  1.067660e+05             584.800        41.2   \n",
       "1      2020-03-20       ABW  1.067660e+05             584.800        41.2   \n",
       "2      2020-03-24       ABW  1.067660e+05             584.800        41.2   \n",
       "3      2020-03-25       ABW  1.067660e+05             584.800        41.2   \n",
       "4      2020-03-26       ABW  1.067660e+05             584.800        41.2   \n",
       "...           ...       ...           ...                 ...         ...   \n",
       "35169  2020-08-27  OWID_WRL  7.794799e+09              58.045        30.9   \n",
       "35170  2020-08-28  OWID_WRL  7.794799e+09              58.045        30.9   \n",
       "35171  2020-08-29  OWID_WRL  7.794799e+09              58.045        30.9   \n",
       "35172  2020-08-30  OWID_WRL  7.794799e+09              58.045        30.9   \n",
       "35173  2020-08-31  OWID_WRL  7.794799e+09              58.045        30.9   \n",
       "\n",
       "       total_cases  total_deaths  new_cases  new_deaths  \n",
       "0              2.0           0.0        2.0         0.0  \n",
       "1              4.0           0.0        2.0         0.0  \n",
       "2             12.0           0.0        8.0         0.0  \n",
       "3             17.0           0.0        5.0         0.0  \n",
       "4             19.0           0.0        2.0         0.0  \n",
       "...            ...           ...        ...         ...  \n",
       "35169   24201449.0      825936.0   276699.0      6297.0  \n",
       "35170   24484672.0      832011.0   283223.0      6075.0  \n",
       "35171   24761119.0      837466.0   276447.0      5455.0  \n",
       "35172   25029850.0      843154.0   268731.0      5688.0  \n",
       "35173   25251334.0      846841.0   221484.0      3687.0  \n",
       "\n",
       "[35174 rows x 9 columns]"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 15,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "df_CD"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 16,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "Index(['Date', 'CountryCode', 'C1_School closing', 'C1_Flag',\n",
       "       'C2_Workplace closing', 'C2_Flag', 'C3_Cancel public events', 'C3_Flag',\n",
       "       'C4_Restrictions on gatherings', 'C4_Flag', 'C5_Close public transport',\n",
       "       'C5_Flag', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C6_Flag',\n",
       "       'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C7_Flag',\n",
       "       'C8_International travel controls', 'H1_Public information campaigns',\n",
       "       'H1_Flag', 'E1_Income support', 'E1_Flag'],\n",
       "      dtype='object')"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 16,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "df_GR.columns"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 17,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "Date                                    0\n",
       "CountryCode                             0\n",
       "C1_School closing                       0\n",
       "C1_Flag                                 0\n",
       "C2_Workplace closing                    0\n",
       "C2_Flag                                 0\n",
       "C3_Cancel public events                 0\n",
       "C3_Flag                                 0\n",
       "C4_Restrictions on gatherings           0\n",
       "C4_Flag                                 0\n",
       "C5_Close public transport               0\n",
       "C5_Flag                                 0\n",
       "C6_Stay at home requirements            0\n",
       "C6_Flag                                 0\n",
       "C7_Restrictions on internal movement    0\n",
       "C7_Flag                                 0\n",
       "C8_International travel controls        0\n",
       "H1_Public information campaigns         0\n",
       "H1_Flag                                 0\n",
       "E1_Income support                       0\n",
       "E1_Flag                                 0\n",
       "dtype: int64"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 17,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Display count of null values in each column of the Government Response dataframe\n",
    "\n",
    "df_GR.isnull().sum()"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 18,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
       "       'total_cases', 'total_deaths', 'new_cases', 'new_deaths'],\n",
       "      dtype='object')"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 18,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "df_CD.columns"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 19,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# Rename the Date and CountryCode columns in the Government Response dataframe to date and iso_code, respectively,\n",
    "# to avoid using left_on and right_on in the merge operation\n",
    "\n",
    "df_GR = df_GR.rename(columns={\"Date\":\"date\",\"CountryCode\":\"iso_code\"})"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 20,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# This function converts a date string of the format YYYYMMDD to YYYY-MM-DD\n",
    "\n",
    "def formatDate(dt):\n",
    "    d_str = str(dt)\n",
    "    year = d_str[0:4]\n",
    "    month = d_str[4:6]\n",
    "    day = d_str[6:8]\n",
    "    dt_str = year + \"-\" + month + \"-\" + day\n",
    "     \n",
    "    return dt_str"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 21,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# Format the date column of the Government Response\n",
    "\n",
    "df_GR[\"date\"] = df_GR[\"date\"].apply(lambda x:formatDate(x))"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 22,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
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       "      <td>2020-01-05</td>\n",
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       "         date iso_code  C1_School closing  C1_Flag  C2_Workplace closing  \\\n",
       "0  2020-01-01      ABW                0.0      0.0                   0.0   \n",
       "1  2020-01-02      ABW                0.0      0.0                   0.0   \n",
       "2  2020-01-03      ABW                0.0      0.0                   0.0   \n",
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       "4  2020-01-05      ABW                0.0      0.0                   0.0   \n",
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       "0      0.0                      0.0      0.0                            0.0   \n",
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       "0      0.0  ...      0.0                           0.0      0.0   \n",
       "1      0.0  ...      0.0                           0.0      0.0   \n",
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       "4      0.0  ...      0.0                           0.0      0.0   \n",
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       "   C7_Restrictions on internal movement  C7_Flag  \\\n",
       "0                                   0.0      0.0   \n",
       "1                                   0.0      0.0   \n",
       "2                                   0.0      0.0   \n",
       "3                                   0.0      0.0   \n",
       "4                                   0.0      0.0   \n",
       "\n",
       "   C8_International travel controls  H1_Public information campaigns  H1_Flag  \\\n",
       "0                               0.0                              0.0      0.0   \n",
       "1                               0.0                              0.0      0.0   \n",
       "2                               0.0                              0.0      0.0   \n",
       "3                               0.0                              0.0      0.0   \n",
       "4                               0.0                              0.0      0.0   \n",
       "\n",
       "   E1_Income support  E1_Flag  \n",
       "0                0.0      0.0  \n",
       "1                0.0      0.0  \n",
       "2                0.0      0.0  \n",
       "3                0.0      0.0  \n",
       "4                0.0      0.0  \n",
       "\n",
       "[5 rows x 21 columns]"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 22,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "df_GR.head()"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 23,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "(45140, 21)"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 23,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "df_GR.shape"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 24,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
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       "      <td>2020-03-25</td>\n",
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       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>4</th>\n",
       "      <td>2020-03-26</td>\n",
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      "text/plain": [
       "         date iso_code  population  population_density  median_age  \\\n",
       "0  2020-03-13      ABW    106766.0               584.8        41.2   \n",
       "1  2020-03-20      ABW    106766.0               584.8        41.2   \n",
       "2  2020-03-24      ABW    106766.0               584.8        41.2   \n",
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       "4  2020-03-26      ABW    106766.0               584.8        41.2   \n",
       "\n",
       "   total_cases  total_deaths  new_cases  new_deaths  \n",
       "0          2.0           0.0        2.0         0.0  \n",
       "1          4.0           0.0        2.0         0.0  \n",
       "2         12.0           0.0        8.0         0.0  \n",
       "3         17.0           0.0        5.0         0.0  \n",
       "4         19.0           0.0        2.0         0.0  "
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 24,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
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   ],
   "source": [
    "df_CD.head()"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 25,
   "metadata": {
    "scrolled": true
   },
   "outputs": [
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       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>3</th>\n",
       "      <td>2020-03-25</td>\n",
       "      <td>ABW</td>\n",
       "      <td>3.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>2.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>106766.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>584.800</td>\n",
       "      <td>41.2</td>\n",
       "      <td>17.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>5.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>4</th>\n",
       "      <td>2020-03-26</td>\n",
       "      <td>ABW</td>\n",
       "      <td>3.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>2.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>106766.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>584.800</td>\n",
       "      <td>41.2</td>\n",
       "      <td>19.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>2.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>...</th>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>31800</th>\n",
       "      <td>2020-08-27</td>\n",
       "      <td>ZWE</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>14862927.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>42.729</td>\n",
       "      <td>19.6</td>\n",
       "      <td>6251.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>179.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>55.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>13.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>31801</th>\n",
       "      <td>2020-08-28</td>\n",
       "      <td>ZWE</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>14862927.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>42.729</td>\n",
       "      <td>19.6</td>\n",
       "      <td>6292.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>189.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>41.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>10.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>31802</th>\n",
       "      <td>2020-08-29</td>\n",
       "      <td>ZWE</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>14862927.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>42.729</td>\n",
       "      <td>19.6</td>\n",
       "      <td>6388.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>195.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>96.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>6.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>31803</th>\n",
       "      <td>2020-08-30</td>\n",
       "      <td>ZWE</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>14862927.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>42.729</td>\n",
       "      <td>19.6</td>\n",
       "      <td>6406.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>196.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>18.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>31804</th>\n",
       "      <td>2020-08-31</td>\n",
       "      <td>ZWE</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>14862927.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>42.729</td>\n",
       "      <td>19.6</td>\n",
       "      <td>6412.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>196.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>6.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "  </tbody>\n",
       "</table>\n",
       "<p>31805 rows × 28 columns</p>\n",
       "</div>"
      ],
      "text/plain": [
       "             date iso_code  C1_School closing  C1_Flag  C2_Workplace closing  \\\n",
       "0      2020-03-13      ABW                0.0      0.0                   0.0   \n",
       "1      2020-03-20      ABW                3.0      1.0                   0.0   \n",
       "2      2020-03-24      ABW                3.0      1.0                   2.0   \n",
       "3      2020-03-25      ABW                3.0      1.0                   2.0   \n",
       "4      2020-03-26      ABW                3.0      1.0                   2.0   \n",
       "...           ...      ...                ...      ...                   ...   \n",
       "31800  2020-08-27      ZWE                0.0      0.0                   0.0   \n",
       "31801  2020-08-28      ZWE                0.0      0.0                   0.0   \n",
       "31802  2020-08-29      ZWE                0.0      0.0                   0.0   \n",
       "31803  2020-08-30      ZWE                0.0      0.0                   0.0   \n",
       "31804  2020-08-31      ZWE                0.0      0.0                   0.0   \n",
       "\n",
       "       C2_Flag  C3_Cancel public events  C3_Flag  \\\n",
       "0          0.0                      0.0      0.0   \n",
       "1          0.0                      0.0      0.0   \n",
       "2          1.0                      0.0      0.0   \n",
       "3          1.0                      0.0      0.0   \n",
       "4          1.0                      0.0      0.0   \n",
       "...        ...                      ...      ...   \n",
       "31800      0.0                      0.0      0.0   \n",
       "31801      0.0                      0.0      0.0   \n",
       "31802      0.0                      0.0      0.0   \n",
       "31803      0.0                      0.0      0.0   \n",
       "31804      0.0                      0.0      0.0   \n",
       "\n",
       "       C4_Restrictions on gatherings  C4_Flag  ...  H1_Flag  \\\n",
       "0                                0.0      0.0  ...      0.0   \n",
       "1                                0.0      0.0  ...      1.0   \n",
       "2                                0.0      0.0  ...      1.0   \n",
       "3                                0.0      0.0  ...      1.0   \n",
       "4                                0.0      0.0  ...      1.0   \n",
       "...                              ...      ...  ...      ...   \n",
       "31800                            0.0      0.0  ...      0.0   \n",
       "31801                            0.0      0.0  ...      0.0   \n",
       "31802                            0.0      0.0  ...      0.0   \n",
       "31803                            0.0      0.0  ...      0.0   \n",
       "31804                            0.0      0.0  ...      0.0   \n",
       "\n",
       "       E1_Income support  E1_Flag  population  population_density  median_age  \\\n",
       "0                    0.0      0.0    106766.0             584.800        41.2   \n",
       "1                    0.0      0.0    106766.0             584.800        41.2   \n",
       "2                    0.0      0.0    106766.0             584.800        41.2   \n",
       "3                    0.0      0.0    106766.0             584.800        41.2   \n",
       "4                    0.0      0.0    106766.0             584.800        41.2   \n",
       "...                  ...      ...         ...                 ...         ...   \n",
       "31800                0.0      0.0  14862927.0              42.729        19.6   \n",
       "31801                0.0      0.0  14862927.0              42.729        19.6   \n",
       "31802                0.0      0.0  14862927.0              42.729        19.6   \n",
       "31803                0.0      0.0  14862927.0              42.729        19.6   \n",
       "31804                0.0      0.0  14862927.0              42.729        19.6   \n",
       "\n",
       "       total_cases  total_deaths  new_cases  new_deaths  \n",
       "0              2.0           0.0        2.0         0.0  \n",
       "1              4.0           0.0        2.0         0.0  \n",
       "2             12.0           0.0        8.0         0.0  \n",
       "3             17.0           0.0        5.0         0.0  \n",
       "4             19.0           0.0        2.0         0.0  \n",
       "...            ...           ...        ...         ...  \n",
       "31800       6251.0         179.0       55.0        13.0  \n",
       "31801       6292.0         189.0       41.0        10.0  \n",
       "31802       6388.0         195.0       96.0         6.0  \n",
       "31803       6406.0         196.0       18.0         1.0  \n",
       "31804       6412.0         196.0        6.0         0.0  \n",
       "\n",
       "[31805 rows x 28 columns]"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 25,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Merge the Government Response and the COVID Data dataframe on date and iso_code\n",
    "\n",
    "final_df = df_GR.merge(df_CD,on=[\"date\",\"iso_code\"])\n",
    "final_df"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 26,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# Create four dataframes, one for each feature set to be explored for predicting future total cases and total deaths\n",
    "\n",
    "df1 = final_df[['date','iso_code','population','population_density','median_age','C6_Stay at home requirements','C7_Restrictions on internal movement','C8_International travel controls','total_cases','total_deaths']]\n",
    "df2 = final_df[['date','iso_code','population','population_density','median_age','C1_School closing','C2_Workplace closing','C3_Cancel public events','C6_Stay at home requirements','C7_Restrictions on internal movement','C8_International travel controls','total_cases','total_deaths']]\n",
    "df3 = final_df[['date','iso_code','population','population_density','median_age','C1_School closing','C2_Workplace closing','C3_Cancel public events','C4_Restrictions on gatherings','C5_Close public transport','C6_Stay at home requirements','C7_Restrictions on internal movement','C8_International travel controls','total_cases','total_deaths']]\n",
    "df4 = final_df[['date','iso_code','population','population_density','median_age','C6_Stay at home requirements','C7_Restrictions on internal movement','C8_International travel controls','E1_Income support','total_cases','total_deaths']]\n",
    "\n",
    "# Put the dataframe in a list\n",
    "dfs = [df1, df2, df3, df4]\n"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 27,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# The following function creates a dataframe for each individual iso_code (country code), which contains the \n",
    "# following information:\n",
    "# - date, iso_code, future date\n",
    "\n",
    "# It returns a dictionary of the country codes dataframes and a list of the iso_codes used as dictionary key values\n",
    "\n",
    "# Input: \n",
    "# df - A list of dataframes\n",
    "\n",
    "# Returns:\n",
    "# - A countries dictionary, each element of which contains future date dictionaries, each of which has \n",
    "# three columns: data, iso_code, and future date\n",
    "# - A iso_codes list contain a unique list of all the country codes\n",
    "\n",
    "def get_iso_dicts(df):\n",
    "    \n",
    "    # Get a lost of the iso_codes\n",
    "    iso_codes = df[\"iso_code\"].unique()\n",
    "    \n",
    "    # Initialize the country codes dictionary\n",
    "    iso_dicts = {}\n",
    "    \n",
    "    # Iterate through the iso_cides\n",
    "    for code in iso_codes:\n",
    "        \n",
    "        # Create a dictionary for the current iso_code\n",
    "        iso_dicts[code] = {}\n",
    "        \n",
    "        # For each value of day in the future list (30,45,60, and 75)\n",
    "        for day in future:\n",
    "            \n",
    "            # Create the future date column name\n",
    "            date_col = \"_\".join([\"date\",day])\n",
    "            \n",
    "            # Copy the date and iso_code columns to a new dataframe, df_iso\n",
    "            df_iso = final_df[final_df[\"iso_code\"]==code][[\"date\",\"iso_code\"]]\n",
    "            \n",
    "            # Set the future date column to the current date + the current value of day\n",
    "            df_iso[date_col] = pd.to_datetime(df_iso[\"date\"]) + timedelta(days=int(day))\n",
    "            \n",
    "            # Set the type of the future date column to str so that it can be used in merge operations\n",
    "            df_iso[date_col] = df_iso[date_col].astype(str)\n",
    "\n",
    "            # Add the dataframe to the iso_dicts country dictionaries \n",
    "            iso_dicts[code][day] = df_iso\n",
    "            \n",
    "    # Return the country dataframes and the country codes        \n",
    "    return iso_dicts, iso_codes"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 28,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# This function groups all the country-day dataframe by the number of days into the future (30,45,60,75) into\n",
    "# a list of four dataframes\n",
    "#\n",
    "# Input:\n",
    "# iso_codes - country codes list\n",
    "# iso_dicts - country-future-dates dictionaries\n",
    "#\n",
    "# Returns:\n",
    "# A list of dataframes, one for each of the future days being considered\n",
    "def get_cum_days(*iso_codes, **iso_dicts):\n",
    "    \n",
    "    # Initialize the days dataframe list\n",
    "    days = []\n",
    "\n",
    "    # For each day value in futures ('30','45','60','75')\n",
    "    for day in future:\n",
    "        \n",
    "        # Create a new cumulative dataframe\n",
    "        cum_df = pd.DataFrame()\n",
    "        \n",
    "        # For each iso code (country code)\n",
    "        for code in iso_codes:\n",
    "            \n",
    "            # Append the dataframe corresponding to the country and the future days to the current cumulative dataframe\n",
    "            cum_df = cum_df.append(iso_dicts[code][day])\n",
    "\n",
    "        # Add the current cumulative dataframe to the days dataframe list\n",
    "        days.append(cum_df.reset_index(drop=True))\n",
    "    \n",
    "    return days"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 29,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# This function creates the future total cases and future total deaths columns by left joining the days dataframes\n",
    "# with the original dataframe on the future date, the current date, and the iso_code columns.\n",
    "\n",
    "# Input:\n",
    "# days - list of future date dataframe\n",
    "\n",
    "# Return:\n",
    "# m_days - list of dataframes containing future total deaths and future total cases\n",
    "\n",
    "def get_amended_days(*days):\n",
    "        \n",
    "    # Initialize the amended days dataframe list\n",
    "    m_days = []\n",
    "    \n",
    "    # Iterate through the values in the future list ['30','45','60','75']\n",
    "    for i,day in enumerate(future):\n",
    "        \n",
    "        # Merge the current days dataframe with the original dataframe and append it to m_days\n",
    "        m_days.append(days[i].merge(final_df,left_on=[\"date_\" + day,\"iso_code\"],right_on=[\"date\",\"iso_code\"],how=\"left\",suffixes=[\"\",\"_\" + day]))\n",
    "        \n",
    "        # Drop the index of the merged dataframe\n",
    "        m_days[i] = m_days[i].reset_index(drop=True)\n",
    "        \n",
    "        # Choose the useful columns from the merged dataframe\n",
    "        m_days[i] = m_days[i][[\"date\",\"iso_code\",\"date_\" + day,\"total_cases\",\"total_deaths\"]]\n",
    "        \n",
    "        # Rename the total_cases and total_deaths case to identify to which future period they belong\n",
    "        m_days[i].rename(columns={\"total_cases\":\"total_cases_\" + day,\n",
    "                           \"total_deaths\":\"total_deaths_\" + day},inplace=True)\n",
    "        \n",
    "    return m_days"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 30,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# This function creates the list of day dataframes, one for each of the future periods under consideration. \n",
    "# The dataframes contain the following columns: date, iso_code, future_date, future total cases, future total deaths \n",
    "\n",
    "# Initialize the future days list \n",
    "future = [\"30\",\"45\",\"60\",\"75\"]\n",
    "\n",
    "def get_days(df):\n",
    "    \n",
    "    # Get the country-days dicts and the country iso codes\n",
    "    iso_dicts, iso_codes = get_iso_dicts(df)\n",
    "    \n",
    "    # Get the list of days dataframes for each of the future period lengths\n",
    "    days = get_cum_days(*iso_codes, **iso_dicts)\n",
    "        \n",
    "    # Append to the list the future total deaths and the future total cases\n",
    "    days = get_amended_days(*days)\n",
    "\n",
    "    return days"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 31,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# Earlier EDA has shown that, out of the researched neural network configurations, the following neural \n",
    "# network configuration produces the most accurate results\n",
    "\n",
    "layers = { \n",
    "            \"number_input_features\": 0,   # number of input features will vary, value set elsewhere\n",
    "            \"n_layers\": 4, \n",
    "            \"l0\":{\"number_hidden_nodes\":18,\"activation_function\":\"relu\"},\n",
    "            \"l1\":{\"number_hidden_nodes\":9,\"activation_function\":\"relu\"},\n",
    "            \"l2\":{\"number_hidden_nodes\":4,\"activation_function\":\"relu\"},\n",
    "            \"l3\":{\"number_hidden_nodes\":1,\"activation_function\":\"linear\"}\n",
    "        }"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 33,
   "metadata": {
    "scrolled": false
   },
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "total_cases %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%>\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 30 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths',\n",
      "       'date_30', 'date_30', 'total_cases_30', 'total_deaths_30'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 30 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_cases_30\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                162       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 378\n",
      "Trainable params: 378\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0953 - mse: 0.0953\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0273 - mse: 0.0273\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0175 - mse: 0.0175\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0145 - mse: 0.0145\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0143 - mse: 0.0143\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0104 - mse: 0.0104\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0104 - mse: 0.0104\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0087 - mse: 0.0087\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0088 - mse: 0.0088\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0079 - mse: 0.0079\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0077 - mse: 0.0077\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0078 - mse: 0.0078\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0071 - mse: 0.0071\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0075 - mse: 0.0075\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0068 - mse: 0.0068\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0060 - mse: 0.0060\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0059 - mse: 0.0059\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0056 - mse: 0.0056\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0061 - mse: 0.0061\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0060 - mse: 0.0060\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0057 - mse: 0.0057\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0062 - mse: 0.0062\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0048 - mse: 0.0048\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0050 - mse: 0.0050\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0046 - mse: 0.0046\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0052 - mse: 0.0052\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0049 - mse: 0.0049\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0046 - mse: 0.0046\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0046 - mse: 0.0046\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0044 - mse: 0.0044\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0043 - mse: 0.0043\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0045 - mse: 0.0045\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0044 - mse: 0.0044\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0039 - mse: 0.0039\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0040 - mse: 0.0040\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0041 - mse: 0.0041\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0040 - mse: 0.0040\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0038 - mse: 0.0038\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0043 - mse: 0.0043\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0043 - mse: 0.0043\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0040 - mse: 0.0040\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0040 - mse: 0.0040\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0042 - mse: 0.0042\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0034 - mse: 0.0034\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0038 - mse: 0.0038\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0035 - mse: 0.0035\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0040 - mse: 0.0040\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0034 - mse: 0.0034\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0036 - mse: 0.0036\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0044 - mse: 0.0044\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0033 - mse: 0.0033\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0038 - mse: 0.0038\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0037 - mse: 0.0037\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0039 - mse: 0.0039\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0033 - mse: 0.0033\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0036 - mse: 0.0036\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0039 - mse: 0.0039\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0036 - mse: 0.0036\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0035 - mse: 0.0035\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0032 - mse: 0.0032\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0033 - mse: 0.0033\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0037 - mse: 0.0037\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0032 - mse: 0.0032\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0045 - mse: 0.0045\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0033 - mse: 0.0033\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0036 - mse: 0.0036\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0033 - mse: 0.0033\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0032 - mse: 0.0032\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0035 - mse: 0.0035\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0033 - mse: 0.0033\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0038 - mse: 0.0038\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0031 - mse: 0.0031\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0032 - mse: 0.0032\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0033 - mse: 0.0033\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0032 - mse: 0.0032\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0033 - mse: 0.0033\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0033 - mse: 0.0033\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0029 - mse: 0.0029\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0033 - mse: 0.0033\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0038 - mse: 0.0038\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0028 - mse: 0.0028\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0040 - mse: 0.0040\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0028 - mse: 0.0028\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0029 - mse: 0.0029\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0032 - mse: 0.0032\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0043 - mse: 0.0043\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0031 - mse: 0.0031\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0027 - mse: 0.0027\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0032 - mse: 0.0032\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0029 - mse: 0.0029\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0031 - mse: 0.0031\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0030 - mse: 0.0030\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0028 - mse: 0.0028\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0036 - mse: 0.0036\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0034 - mse: 0.0034\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0028 - mse: 0.0028\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0027 - mse: 0.0027\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0041 - mse: 0.0041\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0026 - mse: 0.0026\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9974528964838381\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9958905290096606\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 45 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths',\n",
      "       'date_45', 'date_45', 'total_cases_45', 'total_deaths_45'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 45 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_cases_45\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                162       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 378\n",
      "Trainable params: 378\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.4023 - mse: 0.4023\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0571 - mse: 0.0571\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0432 - mse: 0.0432\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0378 - mse: 0.0378\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0358 - mse: 0.0358\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0340 - mse: 0.0340\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0306 - mse: 0.0306\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0293 - mse: 0.0293\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0277 - mse: 0.0277\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0266 - mse: 0.0266\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0252 - mse: 0.0252\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0239 - mse: 0.0239\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0234 - mse: 0.0234\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0188 - mse: 0.0188\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0188 - mse: 0.0188\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0166 - mse: 0.0166\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0155 - mse: 0.0155\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0150 - mse: 0.0150\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0165 - mse: 0.0165\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0129 - mse: 0.0129\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0124 - mse: 0.0124\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0120 - mse: 0.0120\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0141 - mse: 0.0141\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0119 - mse: 0.0119\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0108 - mse: 0.0108\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0113 - mse: 0.0113\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0117 - mse: 0.0117\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0105 - mse: 0.0105\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0122 - mse: 0.0122\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0099 - mse: 0.0099\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0107 - mse: 0.0107\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0104 - mse: 0.0104\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0097 - mse: 0.0097\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0122 - mse: 0.0122\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0105 - mse: 0.0105\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0089 - mse: 0.0089\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0089 - mse: 0.0089\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0095 - mse: 0.0095\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0100 - mse: 0.0100\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0089 - mse: 0.0089\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0098 - mse: 0.0098\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0088 - mse: 0.0088\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0102 - mse: 0.0102\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0089 - mse: 0.0089\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0085 - mse: 0.0085\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0095 - mse: 0.0095\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0083 - mse: 0.0083\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0098 - mse: 0.0098\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0081 - mse: 0.0081\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0082 - mse: 0.0082\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0093 - mse: 0.0093\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0079 - mse: 0.0079\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0089 - mse: 0.0089\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0082 - mse: 0.0082\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0088 - mse: 0.0088\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0080 - mse: 0.0080\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0083 - mse: 0.0083\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0078 - mse: 0.0078\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0074 - mse: 0.0074\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0096 - mse: 0.0096\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0073 - mse: 0.0073\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0075 - mse: 0.0075\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0079 - mse: 0.0079\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0078 - mse: 0.0078\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0075 - mse: 0.0075\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0070 - mse: 0.0070\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0084 - mse: 0.0084\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0075 - mse: 0.0075\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0069 - mse: 0.0069\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0071 - mse: 0.0071\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0074 - mse: 0.0074\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0078 - mse: 0.0078\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0072 - mse: 0.0072\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0070 - mse: 0.0070\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0069 - mse: 0.0069\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0073 - mse: 0.0073\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0069 - mse: 0.0069\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0074 - mse: 0.0074\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0069 - mse: 0.0069\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0069 - mse: 0.0069\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0070 - mse: 0.0070\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0069 - mse: 0.0069\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0069 - mse: 0.0069\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0066 - mse: 0.0066\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0065 - mse: 0.0065\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0074 - mse: 0.0074\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0071 - mse: 0.0071\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0062 - mse: 0.0062\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0065 - mse: 0.0065\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0071 - mse: 0.0071\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0064 - mse: 0.0064\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0069 - mse: 0.0069\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0059 - mse: 0.0059\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0063 - mse: 0.0063\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0068 - mse: 0.0068\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0068 - mse: 0.0068\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0060 - mse: 0.0060\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0061 - mse: 0.0061\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0064 - mse: 0.0064\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.993898288155289\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9931487715066248\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 60 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths',\n",
      "       'date_60', 'date_60', 'total_cases_60', 'total_deaths_60'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 60 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_cases_60\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                162       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 378\n",
      "Trainable params: 378\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.3421 - mse: 0.3421\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0807 - mse: 0.0807\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0620 - mse: 0.0620\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0480 - mse: 0.0480\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0389 - mse: 0.0389\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0347 - mse: 0.0347\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0298 - mse: 0.0298\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0278 - mse: 0.0278\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0255 - mse: 0.0255\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0239 - mse: 0.0239\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0222 - mse: 0.0222\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0215 - mse: 0.0215\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0209 - mse: 0.0209\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 1s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0193 - mse: 0.0193\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0194 - mse: 0.0194\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0186 - mse: 0.0186\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0187 - mse: 0.0187\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0180 - mse: 0.0180\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0184 - mse: 0.0184\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0170 - mse: 0.0170\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0173 - mse: 0.0173\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0172 - mse: 0.0172\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0155 - mse: 0.0155\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0176 - mse: 0.0176\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0160 - mse: 0.0160\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0161 - mse: 0.0161\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0148 - mse: 0.0148\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0146 - mse: 0.0146\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0156 - mse: 0.0156\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0147 - mse: 0.0147\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0151 - mse: 0.0151\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0145 - mse: 0.0145\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 1s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0141 - mse: 0.0141\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0145 - mse: 0.0145\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0137 - mse: 0.0137\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0134 - mse: 0.0134\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0143 - mse: 0.0143\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0142 - mse: 0.0142\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0131 - mse: 0.0131\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0146 - mse: 0.0146\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0142 - mse: 0.0142\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0123 - mse: 0.0123\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0123 - mse: 0.0123\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0119 - mse: 0.0119\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0145 - mse: 0.0145\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0116 - mse: 0.0116\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0123 - mse: 0.0123\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0125 - mse: 0.0125\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0127 - mse: 0.0127\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0109 - mse: 0.0109\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0102 - mse: 0.0102\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0122 - mse: 0.0122\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0115 - mse: 0.0115\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0101 - mse: 0.0101\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0109 - mse: 0.0109\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0116 - mse: 0.0116\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0104 - mse: 0.0104\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0109 - mse: 0.0109\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0097 - mse: 0.0097\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0101 - mse: 0.0101\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0098 - mse: 0.0098\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0110 - mse: 0.0110\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0097 - mse: 0.0097\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0101 - mse: 0.0101\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0104 - mse: 0.0104\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0103 - mse: 0.0103\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0096 - mse: 0.0096\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0131 - mse: 0.0131\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0108 - mse: 0.0108\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0098 - mse: 0.0098\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0098 - mse: 0.0098\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0098 - mse: 0.0098\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0093 - mse: 0.0093\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0096 - mse: 0.0096\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0181 - mse: 0.0181\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0090 - mse: 0.0090\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0087 - mse: 0.0087\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0088 - mse: 0.0088\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0099 - mse: 0.0099\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0097 - mse: 0.0097\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0095 - mse: 0.0095\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0090 - mse: 0.0090\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0088 - mse: 0.0088\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0090 - mse: 0.0090\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0093 - mse: 0.0093\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0088 - mse: 0.0088\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0088 - mse: 0.0088\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0088 - mse: 0.0088\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0093 - mse: 0.0093\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0096 - mse: 0.0096\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0085 - mse: 0.0085\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0087 - mse: 0.0087\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0087 - mse: 0.0087\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0082 - mse: 0.0082\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9921004258107132\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9932248402392118\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 75 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths',\n",
      "       'date_75', 'date_75', 'total_cases_75', 'total_deaths_75'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 75 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_cases_75\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                162       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 378\n",
      "Trainable params: 378\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.9128 - mse: 0.9128\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 3ms/step - loss: 0.2283 - mse: 0.2283\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1509 - mse: 0.1509\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1105 - mse: 0.1105\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0794 - mse: 0.0794\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0623 - mse: 0.0623\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0536 - mse: 0.0536\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0467 - mse: 0.0467\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0501 - mse: 0.0501\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0398 - mse: 0.0398\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0365 - mse: 0.0365\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0350 - mse: 0.0350\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0332 - mse: 0.0332\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0315 - mse: 0.0315\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0313 - mse: 0.0313\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0306 - mse: 0.0306\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0380 - mse: 0.0380\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0265 - mse: 0.0265\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0266 - mse: 0.0266\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0236 - mse: 0.0236\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0233 - mse: 0.0233\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0230 - mse: 0.0230\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0228 - mse: 0.0228\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0210 - mse: 0.0210\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0194 - mse: 0.0194\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0193 - mse: 0.0193\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0195 - mse: 0.0195\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0203 - mse: 0.0203\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0190 - mse: 0.0190\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0183 - mse: 0.0183\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0186 - mse: 0.0186\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0187 - mse: 0.0187\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0164 - mse: 0.0164\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0175 - mse: 0.0175\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0174 - mse: 0.0174\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0194 - mse: 0.0194\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0168 - mse: 0.0168\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0160 - mse: 0.0160\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0157 - mse: 0.0157\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0170 - mse: 0.0170\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0150 - mse: 0.0150\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0160 - mse: 0.0160\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0151 - mse: 0.0151\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0165 - mse: 0.0165\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0159 - mse: 0.0159\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0153 - mse: 0.0153\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0156 - mse: 0.0156\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0157 - mse: 0.0157\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0148 - mse: 0.0148\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0141 - mse: 0.0141\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0151 - mse: 0.0151\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0157 - mse: 0.0157\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0135 - mse: 0.0135\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0138 - mse: 0.0138\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0150 - mse: 0.0150\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0136 - mse: 0.0136\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0132 - mse: 0.0132\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0142 - mse: 0.0142\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0135 - mse: 0.0135\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0130 - mse: 0.0130\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0129 - mse: 0.0129\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0131 - mse: 0.0131\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0129 - mse: 0.0129\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0130 - mse: 0.0130\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0145 - mse: 0.0145\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0117 - mse: 0.0117\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0120 - mse: 0.0120\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0138 - mse: 0.0138\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0127 - mse: 0.0127\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0115 - mse: 0.0115\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0128 - mse: 0.0128\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0115 - mse: 0.0115\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0118 - mse: 0.0118\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0129 - mse: 0.0129\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0122 - mse: 0.0122\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0119 - mse: 0.0119\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0116 - mse: 0.0116A: \n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0122 - mse: 0.0122\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0121 - mse: 0.0121\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0128 - mse: 0.0128\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0149 - mse: 0.0149\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0110 - mse: 0.0110\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0110 - mse: 0.0110\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0114 - mse: 0.0114\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0113 - mse: 0.0113\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0119 - mse: 0.0119\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0123 - mse: 0.0123\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0104 - mse: 0.0104\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0107 - mse: 0.0107\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0109 - mse: 0.0109\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0113 - mse: 0.0113\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0110 - mse: 0.0110\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0108 - mse: 0.0108\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0142 - mse: 0.0142\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0127 - mse: 0.0127\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0099 - mse: 0.0099\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0104 - mse: 0.0104\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9906405390640233\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.993017431289843\n",
      "total_deaths %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%>\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 30 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths',\n",
      "       'date_30', 'date_30', 'total_cases_30', 'total_deaths_30'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 30 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_deaths_30\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                162       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 378\n",
      "Trainable params: 378\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.1717 - mse: 0.1717\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0468 - mse: 0.0468\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0351 - mse: 0.0351\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0277 - mse: 0.0277\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0232 - mse: 0.0232\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0208 - mse: 0.0208\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0173 - mse: 0.0173\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0163 - mse: 0.0163\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0143 - mse: 0.0143\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0126 - mse: 0.0126\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0118 - mse: 0.0118\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0106 - mse: 0.0106\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0099 - mse: 0.0099\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0092 - mse: 0.0092\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0083 - mse: 0.0083\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0077 - mse: 0.0077\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0090 - mse: 0.0090\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0069 - mse: 0.0069\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0071 - mse: 0.0071\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0069 - mse: 0.0069\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0068 - mse: 0.0068\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0068 - mse: 0.0068\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0078 - mse: 0.0078\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0064 - mse: 0.0064\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0061 - mse: 0.0061\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0061 - mse: 0.0061\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0059 - mse: 0.0059\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0060 - mse: 0.0060\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0058 - mse: 0.0058\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0054 - mse: 0.0054\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0059 - mse: 0.0059\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0060 - mse: 0.0060\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0056 - mse: 0.0056\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0055 - mse: 0.0055\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0058 - mse: 0.0058\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0054 - mse: 0.0054\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0057 - mse: 0.0057\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0052 - mse: 0.0052\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0052 - mse: 0.0052\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0061 - mse: 0.0061\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0052 - mse: 0.0052\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0058 - mse: 0.0058\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0047 - mse: 0.0047\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0055 - mse: 0.0055\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0056 - mse: 0.0056\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0047 - mse: 0.0047\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0060 - mse: 0.0060\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0047 - mse: 0.0047\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0049 - mse: 0.0049\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0049 - mse: 0.0049\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0059 - mse: 0.0059\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0047 - mse: 0.0047\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0046 - mse: 0.0046\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0048 - mse: 0.0048\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0050 - mse: 0.0050\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0053 - mse: 0.0053\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0047 - mse: 0.0047\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0052 - mse: 0.0052\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0046 - mse: 0.0046\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0053 - mse: 0.0053\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0044 - mse: 0.0044\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0048 - mse: 0.0048\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0049 - mse: 0.0049\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0046 - mse: 0.0046\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0049 - mse: 0.0049\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0048 - mse: 0.0048\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0046 - mse: 0.0046\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0053 - mse: 0.0053\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0045 - mse: 0.0045\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0042 - mse: 0.0042\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0047 - mse: 0.0047\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0043 - mse: 0.0043\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0046 - mse: 0.0046\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0046 - mse: 0.0046\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0045 - mse: 0.0045\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0043 - mse: 0.0043\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0045 - mse: 0.0045\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0045 - mse: 0.0045\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0042 - mse: 0.0042\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0046 - mse: 0.0046\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0044 - mse: 0.0044\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0043 - mse: 0.0043\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0042 - mse: 0.0042\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0042 - mse: 0.0042\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0042 - mse: 0.0042\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0042 - mse: 0.0042\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0045 - mse: 0.0045\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0042 - mse: 0.0042\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0046 - mse: 0.0046\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0043 - mse: 0.0043\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0050 - mse: 0.0050\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0039 - mse: 0.0039\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0041 - mse: 0.0041\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0044 - mse: 0.0044\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0045 - mse: 0.0045\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0045 - mse: 0.0045\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0045 - mse: 0.0045\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0042 - mse: 0.0042\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0042 - mse: 0.0042\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0043 - mse: 0.0043\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9963207033695091\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9947489093959018\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 45 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths',\n",
      "       'date_45', 'date_45', 'total_cases_45', 'total_deaths_45'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 45 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_deaths_45\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                162       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 378\n",
      "Trainable params: 378\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.1945 - mse: 0.1945\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1005 - mse: 0.1005\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0807 - mse: 0.0807\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0676 - mse: 0.0676\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0623 - mse: 0.0623\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0573 - mse: 0.0573\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0535 - mse: 0.0535\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0493 - mse: 0.0493\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0464 - mse: 0.0464\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0467 - mse: 0.0467\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0472 - mse: 0.0472\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0438 - mse: 0.0438\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0406 - mse: 0.0406\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0394 - mse: 0.0394\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0403 - mse: 0.0403\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0379 - mse: 0.0379\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0354 - mse: 0.0354\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0371 - mse: 0.0371\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0323 - mse: 0.0323\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0332 - mse: 0.0332\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0316 - mse: 0.0316\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0304 - mse: 0.0304\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0308 - mse: 0.0308\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0295 - mse: 0.0295\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0302 - mse: 0.0302\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0294 - mse: 0.0294\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0266 - mse: 0.0266\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0271 - mse: 0.0271\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0391 - mse: 0.0391\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0251 - mse: 0.0251\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0246 - mse: 0.0246\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0327 - mse: 0.0327\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0243 - mse: 0.0243\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0243 - mse: 0.0243\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0238 - mse: 0.0238\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0267 - mse: 0.0267\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0236 - mse: 0.0236\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0254 - mse: 0.0254\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0223 - mse: 0.0223\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0223 - mse: 0.0223\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0227 - mse: 0.0227\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0210 - mse: 0.0210\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0264 - mse: 0.0264\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0211 - mse: 0.0211\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0204 - mse: 0.0204\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0198 - mse: 0.0198\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0203 - mse: 0.0203\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0222 - mse: 0.0222\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0179 - mse: 0.0179\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0217 - mse: 0.0217\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0188 - mse: 0.0188\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0180 - mse: 0.0180\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0178 - mse: 0.0178\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0171 - mse: 0.0171\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0162 - mse: 0.0162\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0185 - mse: 0.0185\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0160 - mse: 0.0160\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0163 - mse: 0.0163\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0149 - mse: 0.0149\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0166 - mse: 0.0166\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0142 - mse: 0.0142\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0150 - mse: 0.0150\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0145 - mse: 0.0145\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0140 - mse: 0.0140\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0152 - mse: 0.0152\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0134 - mse: 0.0134\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0134 - mse: 0.0134\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0138 - mse: 0.0138\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0137 - mse: 0.0137\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0142 - mse: 0.0142\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0138 - mse: 0.0138\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0129 - mse: 0.0129\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0130 - mse: 0.0130\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0140 - mse: 0.0140\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0129 - mse: 0.0129\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0121 - mse: 0.0121\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0140 - mse: 0.0140\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0130 - mse: 0.0130\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0122 - mse: 0.0122\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0144 - mse: 0.0144\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0118 - mse: 0.0118\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0123 - mse: 0.0123\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0131 - mse: 0.0131\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0126 - mse: 0.0126\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0119 - mse: 0.0119\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0129 - mse: 0.0129\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0120 - mse: 0.0120\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0121 - mse: 0.0121\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0146 - mse: 0.0146\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0116 - mse: 0.0116\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0117 - mse: 0.0117\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0122 - mse: 0.0122\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0130 - mse: 0.0130\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0120 - mse: 0.0120\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0116 - mse: 0.0116\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0126 - mse: 0.0126\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0120 - mse: 0.0120\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0113 - mse: 0.0113\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0121 - mse: 0.0121\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0116 - mse: 0.0116\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9884570892824992\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9915064246435604\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 60 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths',\n",
      "       'date_60', 'date_60', 'total_cases_60', 'total_deaths_60'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 60 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_deaths_60\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                162       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 378\n",
      "Trainable params: 378\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.3274 - mse: 0.3274\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1851 - mse: 0.1851\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1526 - mse: 0.1526\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1270 - mse: 0.1270\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1121 - mse: 0.1121\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0942 - mse: 0.0942\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0823 - mse: 0.0823\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0747 - mse: 0.0747\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0683 - mse: 0.0683\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0624 - mse: 0.0624\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0583 - mse: 0.0583\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0560 - mse: 0.0560\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0529 - mse: 0.0529\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0512 - mse: 0.0512\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0484 - mse: 0.0484\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0476 - mse: 0.0476\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0460 - mse: 0.0460\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0459 - mse: 0.0459\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0437 - mse: 0.0437\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0441 - mse: 0.0441\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0407 - mse: 0.0407\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0436 - mse: 0.0436\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0402 - mse: 0.0402\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0390 - mse: 0.0390\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0380 - mse: 0.0380\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0399 - mse: 0.0399\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0371 - mse: 0.0371\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0374 - mse: 0.0374\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0366 - mse: 0.0366\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0348 - mse: 0.0348\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0364 - mse: 0.0364\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0340 - mse: 0.0340\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0349 - mse: 0.0349\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0349 - mse: 0.0349\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0332 - mse: 0.0332\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0316 - mse: 0.0316\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0320 - mse: 0.0320\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0325 - mse: 0.0325\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0305 - mse: 0.0305\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0310 - mse: 0.0310\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0311 - mse: 0.0311\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0290 - mse: 0.0290\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0358 - mse: 0.0358\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0292 - mse: 0.0292\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0293 - mse: 0.0293\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0284 - mse: 0.0284\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0290 - mse: 0.0290\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0282 - mse: 0.0282\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0285 - mse: 0.0285\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0280 - mse: 0.0280\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0281 - mse: 0.0281\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0282 - mse: 0.0282\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0269 - mse: 0.0269\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0272 - mse: 0.0272\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0277 - mse: 0.0277\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0274 - mse: 0.0274\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0259 - mse: 0.0259\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0264 - mse: 0.0264\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0257 - mse: 0.0257\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0259 - mse: 0.0259\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 4s 6ms/step - loss: 0.0256 - mse: 0.0256\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0246 - mse: 0.0246\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0249 - mse: 0.0249A: 0s - loss: 0.0258 - mse\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0264 - mse: 0.0264\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0242 - mse: 0.0242\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0255 - mse: 0.0255\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0245 - mse: 0.0245\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0240 - mse: 0.0240\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0245 - mse: 0.0245\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0237 - mse: 0.0237\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0233 - mse: 0.0233\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0238 - mse: 0.0238\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0236 - mse: 0.0236\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0228 - mse: 0.0228\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0230 - mse: 0.0230\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0234 - mse: 0.0234\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0215 - mse: 0.0215\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0233 - mse: 0.0233\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0226 - mse: 0.0226\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0232 - mse: 0.0232\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0232 - mse: 0.0232\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0218 - mse: 0.0218\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0219 - mse: 0.0219\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0214 - mse: 0.0214\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0208 - mse: 0.0208\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0214 - mse: 0.0214\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0208 - mse: 0.0208\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0215 - mse: 0.0215\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0217 - mse: 0.0217\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0202 - mse: 0.0202\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0207 - mse: 0.0207\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0202 - mse: 0.0202\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0207 - mse: 0.0207\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0207 - mse: 0.0207\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0193 - mse: 0.0193\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0206 - mse: 0.0206\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0194 - mse: 0.0194\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0202 - mse: 0.0202\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0210 - mse: 0.0210\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0193 - mse: 0.0193\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9783150036823771\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9829781873528701\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 75 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths',\n",
      "       'date_75', 'date_75', 'total_cases_75', 'total_deaths_75'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 75 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_deaths_75\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                162       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 378\n",
      "Trainable params: 378\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.5219 - mse: 0.5219\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.2355 - mse: 0.2355\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1971 - mse: 0.1971\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1700 - mse: 0.1700\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1557 - mse: 0.1557\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1471 - mse: 0.1471\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1405 - mse: 0.1405\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1349 - mse: 0.1349\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1302 - mse: 0.1302\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1268 - mse: 0.1268\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.1236 - mse: 0.1236\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 2ms/step - loss: 0.1206 - mse: 0.1206\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.1168 - mse: 0.1168\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.1145 - mse: 0.1145\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.1124 - mse: 0.1124\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1089 - mse: 0.1089\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1067 - mse: 0.1067\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1053 - mse: 0.1053\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1016 - mse: 0.1016\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0995 - mse: 0.0995\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0948 - mse: 0.0948\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0700 - mse: 0.0700\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0604 - mse: 0.0604\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0558 - mse: 0.0558\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0490 - mse: 0.0490\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0464 - mse: 0.0464\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0431 - mse: 0.0431\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0451 - mse: 0.0451\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0387 - mse: 0.0387\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0404 - mse: 0.0404\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0368 - mse: 0.0368\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0357 - mse: 0.0357\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0352 - mse: 0.0352\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0335 - mse: 0.0335\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0346 - mse: 0.0346\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0333 - mse: 0.0333\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0328 - mse: 0.0328\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0320 - mse: 0.0320\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0318 - mse: 0.0318\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0326 - mse: 0.0326\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0292 - mse: 0.0292\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0296 - mse: 0.0296\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0298 - mse: 0.0298\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0291 - mse: 0.0291\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0276 - mse: 0.0276\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0290 - mse: 0.0290\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0267 - mse: 0.0267\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0271 - mse: 0.0271\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0266 - mse: 0.0266\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0276 - mse: 0.0276\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0266 - mse: 0.0266\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0251 - mse: 0.0251\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0285 - mse: 0.0285\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0250 - mse: 0.0250\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0245 - mse: 0.0245\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0243 - mse: 0.0243\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0261 - mse: 0.0261\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0240 - mse: 0.0240\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0245 - mse: 0.0245\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0236 - mse: 0.0236\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0241 - mse: 0.0241\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0235 - mse: 0.0235\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0225 - mse: 0.0225\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0230 - mse: 0.0230\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0254 - mse: 0.0254\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0216 - mse: 0.0216\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0232 - mse: 0.0232\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0211 - mse: 0.0211\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0242 - mse: 0.0242\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0216 - mse: 0.0216\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0213 - mse: 0.0213\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0216 - mse: 0.0216\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0233 - mse: 0.0233\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0217 - mse: 0.0217\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0220 - mse: 0.0220\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0219 - mse: 0.0219\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0211 - mse: 0.0211\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0236 - mse: 0.0236\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0208 - mse: 0.0208\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0213 - mse: 0.0213\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0209 - mse: 0.0209\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0223 - mse: 0.0223\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0198 - mse: 0.0198\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0210 - mse: 0.0210\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0213 - mse: 0.0213\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0207 - mse: 0.0207\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0231 - mse: 0.0231\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0202 - mse: 0.0202\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0195 - mse: 0.0195\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0211 - mse: 0.0211\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0212 - mse: 0.0212\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0190 - mse: 0.0190\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0202 - mse: 0.0202\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0192 - mse: 0.0192\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0243 - mse: 0.0243\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0188 - mse: 0.0188\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0189 - mse: 0.0189\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0192 - mse: 0.0192\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0235 - mse: 0.0235\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0188 - mse: 0.0188\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9802933663747011\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.974047434747576\n",
      "total_cases %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%>\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 30 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths',\n",
      "       'date_30', 'date_30', 'total_cases_30', 'total_deaths_30'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 30 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_cases_30\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C1_School closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C2_Workplace closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C3_Cancel public events\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                216       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 432\n",
      "Trainable params: 432\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1598 - mse: 0.1598\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0195 - mse: 0.0195\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0142 - mse: 0.0142\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0121 - mse: 0.0121\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0113 - mse: 0.0113\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0093 - mse: 0.0093\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0089 - mse: 0.0089\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0074 - mse: 0.0074\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0072 - mse: 0.0072\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0065 - mse: 0.0065\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0063 - mse: 0.0063\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0055 - mse: 0.0055\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0052 - mse: 0.0052\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0050 - mse: 0.0050\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0050 - mse: 0.0050\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0052 - mse: 0.0052\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0047 - mse: 0.0047\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0043 - mse: 0.0043\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0062 - mse: 0.0062\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0052 - mse: 0.0052\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0037 - mse: 0.0037\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0040 - mse: 0.0040\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0038 - mse: 0.0038\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0044 - mse: 0.0044\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0036 - mse: 0.0036\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0035 - mse: 0.0035\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0038 - mse: 0.0038\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0039 - mse: 0.0039\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0031 - mse: 0.0031\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0038 - mse: 0.0038\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0033 - mse: 0.0033\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0034 - mse: 0.0034\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0036 - mse: 0.0036\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0030 - mse: 0.0030\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0034 - mse: 0.0034\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0035 - mse: 0.0035\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0030 - mse: 0.0030\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0030 - mse: 0.0030\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0034 - mse: 0.0034\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0026 - mse: 0.0026\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0031 - mse: 0.0031\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0028 - mse: 0.0028\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 4s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0028 - mse: 0.0028\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0038 - mse: 0.0038\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0027 - mse: 0.0027\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0025 - mse: 0.0025\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0026 - mse: 0.0026\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0027 - mse: 0.0027\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0031 - mse: 0.0031\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0024 - mse: 0.0024\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0028 - mse: 0.0028\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0026 - mse: 0.0026\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0024 - mse: 0.0024\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0022 - mse: 0.0022\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0031 - mse: 0.0031\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0025 - mse: 0.0025\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0026 - mse: 0.0026\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0025 - mse: 0.0025\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0042 - mse: 0.0042\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0023 - mse: 0.0023\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - ETA: 0s - loss: 0.0024 - mse: 0.002 - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0024 - mse: 0.0024\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0030 - mse: 0.0030\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0023 - mse: 0.0023\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0024 - mse: 0.0024\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0023 - mse: 0.0023\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0032 - mse: 0.0032\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0019 - mse: 0.0019\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0024 - mse: 0.0024\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0025 - mse: 0.0025\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0024 - mse: 0.0024\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0022 - mse: 0.0022\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0023 - mse: 0.0023\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0027 - mse: 0.0027\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0021 - mse: 0.0021\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0020 - mse: 0.0020\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0019 - mse: 0.0019\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0022 - mse: 0.0022\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0032 - mse: 0.0032\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0022 - mse: 0.0022\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0019 - mse: 0.0019\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0022 - mse: 0.0022\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0024 - mse: 0.0024\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0020 - mse: 0.0020\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0020 - mse: 0.0020\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0020 - mse: 0.0020\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0022 - mse: 0.0022\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0020 - mse: 0.0020\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0021 - mse: 0.0021\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0022 - mse: 0.0022\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0022 - mse: 0.0022\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0018 - mse: 0.0018\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0034 - mse: 0.0034\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0018 - mse: 0.0018\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0020 - mse: 0.0020\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0021 - mse: 0.0021\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0023 - mse: 0.0023\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0024 - mse: 0.0024\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0018 - mse: 0.0018\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0020 - mse: 0.0020\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0022 - mse: 0.0022\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.998392798885788\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9984343901110995\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 45 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths',\n",
      "       'date_45', 'date_45', 'total_cases_45', 'total_deaths_45'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 45 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_cases_45\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C1_School closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C2_Workplace closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C3_Cancel public events\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                216       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 432\n",
      "Trainable params: 432\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.4882 - mse: 0.4882\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0618 - mse: 0.0618\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0446 - mse: 0.0446\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0371 - mse: 0.0371\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0333 - mse: 0.0333\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0288 - mse: 0.0288\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0259 - mse: 0.0259\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0243 - mse: 0.0243\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0242 - mse: 0.0242\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0210 - mse: 0.0210\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0198 - mse: 0.0198\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0178 - mse: 0.0178\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0169 - mse: 0.0169\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0166 - mse: 0.0166\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0146 - mse: 0.0146\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0134 - mse: 0.0134\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0140 - mse: 0.0140\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0132 - mse: 0.0132\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0124 - mse: 0.0124\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0113 - mse: 0.0113\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0115 - mse: 0.0115\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0109 - mse: 0.0109\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0103 - mse: 0.0103\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0105 - mse: 0.0105\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0097 - mse: 0.0097\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0106 - mse: 0.0106\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0089 - mse: 0.0089\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0090 - mse: 0.0090\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0097 - mse: 0.0097\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0086 - mse: 0.0086\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0108 - mse: 0.0108\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0085 - mse: 0.0085\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0081 - mse: 0.0081\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0081 - mse: 0.0081\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0080 - mse: 0.0080\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0081 - mse: 0.0081\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0080 - mse: 0.0080\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0081 - mse: 0.0081\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0083 - mse: 0.0083\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0075 - mse: 0.0075\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0082 - mse: 0.0082\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0077 - mse: 0.0077\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0073 - mse: 0.0073\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0072 - mse: 0.0072\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0085 - mse: 0.0085\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0072 - mse: 0.0072\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0071 - mse: 0.0071\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0070 - mse: 0.0070\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0076 - mse: 0.0076\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0075 - mse: 0.0075\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0070 - mse: 0.0070\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0066 - mse: 0.0066\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0067 - mse: 0.0067\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0066 - mse: 0.0066\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0066 - mse: 0.0066\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0070 - mse: 0.0070\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0072 - mse: 0.0072\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0064 - mse: 0.0064\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0063 - mse: 0.0063\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0065 - mse: 0.0065\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0067 - mse: 0.0067\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0067 - mse: 0.0067\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0063 - mse: 0.0063\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0065 - mse: 0.0065\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0063 - mse: 0.0063\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0061 - mse: 0.0061\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0066 - mse: 0.0066\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0069 - mse: 0.0069\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0060 - mse: 0.0060\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0057 - mse: 0.0057\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0062 - mse: 0.0062\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0061 - mse: 0.0061\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0061 - mse: 0.0061\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0066 - mse: 0.0066\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0055 - mse: 0.0055\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0061 - mse: 0.0061\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0056 - mse: 0.0056\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0063 - mse: 0.0063\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0059 - mse: 0.0059\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0055 - mse: 0.0055\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0059 - mse: 0.0059\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0056 - mse: 0.0056\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0058 - mse: 0.0058\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0061 - mse: 0.0061\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0051 - mse: 0.0051\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0057 - mse: 0.0057\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0053 - mse: 0.0053\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0059 - mse: 0.0059\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0055 - mse: 0.0055\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0055 - mse: 0.0055\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0056 - mse: 0.0056\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0055 - mse: 0.0055\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0054 - mse: 0.0054\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0060 - mse: 0.0060\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0049 - mse: 0.0049\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0054 - mse: 0.0054\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0055 - mse: 0.0055\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0053 - mse: 0.0053\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0053 - mse: 0.0053\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9911948031303491\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9813094077122122\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 60 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths',\n",
      "       'date_60', 'date_60', 'total_cases_60', 'total_deaths_60'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 60 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_cases_60\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C1_School closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C2_Workplace closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C3_Cancel public events\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                216       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 432\n",
      "Trainable params: 432\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.3164 - mse: 0.3164\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0707 - mse: 0.0707\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0515 - mse: 0.0515\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0392 - mse: 0.0392\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0332 - mse: 0.0332\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0296 - mse: 0.0296\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0247 - mse: 0.0247\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0220 - mse: 0.0220\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0216 - mse: 0.0216\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0182 - mse: 0.0182\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0187 - mse: 0.0187\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0175 - mse: 0.0175\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0166 - mse: 0.0166\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0156 - mse: 0.0156\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0179 - mse: 0.0179\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0150 - mse: 0.0150\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0138 - mse: 0.0138\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0140 - mse: 0.0140\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0148 - mse: 0.0148\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0126 - mse: 0.0126\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0127 - mse: 0.0127\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0136 - mse: 0.0136\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0124 - mse: 0.0124\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0119 - mse: 0.0119\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0135 - mse: 0.0135\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0115 - mse: 0.0115\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0117 - mse: 0.0117\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0187 - mse: 0.0187\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0109 - mse: 0.0109\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0105 - mse: 0.0105\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0105 - mse: 0.0105\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0109 - mse: 0.0109\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0102 - mse: 0.0102\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0103 - mse: 0.0103\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0110 - mse: 0.0110\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - ETA: 0s - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.011 - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0111 - mse: 0.0111\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0099 - mse: 0.0099\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0109 - mse: 0.0109\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0101 - mse: 0.0101\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0118 - mse: 0.0118\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0099 - mse: 0.0099\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0098 - mse: 0.0098\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0104 - mse: 0.0104\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0104 - mse: 0.0104\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0099 - mse: 0.0099\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0106 - mse: 0.0106\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0098 - mse: 0.0098\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0092 - mse: 0.0092\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0093 - mse: 0.0093\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0129 - mse: 0.0129\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0100 - mse: 0.0100\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0113 - mse: 0.0113\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0099 - mse: 0.0099\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0093 - mse: 0.0093\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0114 - mse: 0.0114\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0085 - mse: 0.0085\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0090 - mse: 0.0090\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0092 - mse: 0.0092\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0092 - mse: 0.0092\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0097 - mse: 0.0097\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0097 - mse: 0.0097\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0090 - mse: 0.0090\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0103 - mse: 0.0103\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0098 - mse: 0.0098\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0082 - mse: 0.0082\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0089 - mse: 0.0089\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0089 - mse: 0.0089\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0087 - mse: 0.0087\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0100 - mse: 0.0100\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0088 - mse: 0.0088\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0081 - mse: 0.0081\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0085 - mse: 0.0085\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0085 - mse: 0.0085\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0089 - mse: 0.0089\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0084 - mse: 0.0084\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0089 - mse: 0.0089\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0117 - mse: 0.0117\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0081 - mse: 0.0081\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0080 - mse: 0.0080\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0081 - mse: 0.0081\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0080 - mse: 0.0080\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0086 - mse: 0.0086\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0086 - mse: 0.0086\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0078 - mse: 0.0078\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0103 - mse: 0.0103\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0076 - mse: 0.0076\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0079 - mse: 0.0079\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0083 - mse: 0.0083\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0077 - mse: 0.0077\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0075 - mse: 0.0075\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0079 - mse: 0.0079\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9928685709950476\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9949214133613247\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 75 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths',\n",
      "       'date_75', 'date_75', 'total_cases_75', 'total_deaths_75'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 75 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_cases_75\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C1_School closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C2_Workplace closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C3_Cancel public events\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                216       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 432\n",
      "Trainable params: 432\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.3234 - mse: 0.3234\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1298 - mse: 0.1298\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0778 - mse: 0.0778\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0531 - mse: 0.0531\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0435 - mse: 0.0435\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0352 - mse: 0.0352\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0305 - mse: 0.0305\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0295 - mse: 0.0295\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0253 - mse: 0.0253\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0239 - mse: 0.0239\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0213 - mse: 0.0213\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0215 - mse: 0.0215\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0199 - mse: 0.0199\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0200 - mse: 0.0200\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0188 - mse: 0.0188\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0174 - mse: 0.0174\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0165 - mse: 0.0165\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0180 - mse: 0.0180\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0167 - mse: 0.0167\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0158 - mse: 0.0158\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0164 - mse: 0.0164\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0176 - mse: 0.0176\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0147 - mse: 0.0147\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0140 - mse: 0.0140\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0143 - mse: 0.0143\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0168 - mse: 0.0168\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0156 - mse: 0.0156\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0133 - mse: 0.0133\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0137 - mse: 0.0137\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0146 - mse: 0.0146\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0133 - mse: 0.0133\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0139 - mse: 0.0139\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0132 - mse: 0.0132\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0142 - mse: 0.0142\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0125 - mse: 0.0125\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0143 - mse: 0.0143\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0149 - mse: 0.0149\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0123 - mse: 0.0123\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0128 - mse: 0.0128\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0135 - mse: 0.0135\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0119 - mse: 0.0119\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0135 - mse: 0.0135\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0119 - mse: 0.0119\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0120 - mse: 0.0120\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0119 - mse: 0.0119\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0123 - mse: 0.0123\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0111 - mse: 0.0111\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0115 - mse: 0.0115\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0113 - mse: 0.0113\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0107 - mse: 0.0107\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0107 - mse: 0.0107\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0108 - mse: 0.0108\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0126 - mse: 0.0126\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0104 - mse: 0.0104\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0102 - mse: 0.0102\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0105 - mse: 0.0105\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0117 - mse: 0.0117\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0101 - mse: 0.0101\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0106 - mse: 0.0106\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0110 - mse: 0.0110\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0115 - mse: 0.0115\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0097 - mse: 0.0097\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0115 - mse: 0.0115\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0103 - mse: 0.0103\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0101 - mse: 0.0101\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0100 - mse: 0.0100\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0101 - mse: 0.0101\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0102 - mse: 0.0102\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0116 - mse: 0.0116\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0106 - mse: 0.0106\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0096 - mse: 0.0096\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0097 - mse: 0.0097\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0107 - mse: 0.0107\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0097 - mse: 0.0097\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0098 - mse: 0.0098\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0100 - mse: 0.0100\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0101 - mse: 0.0101\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0099 - mse: 0.0099\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0106 - mse: 0.0106\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0098 - mse: 0.0098\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0105 - mse: 0.0105\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0090 - mse: 0.0090\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0102 - mse: 0.0102\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0089 - mse: 0.0089\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0095 - mse: 0.0095A\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0099 - mse: 0.0099\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0092 - mse: 0.0092\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0089 - mse: 0.0089\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0098 - mse: 0.0098\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0088 - mse: 0.0088\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0090 - mse: 0.0090\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0089 - mse: 0.0089\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0090 - mse: 0.0090\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0093 - mse: 0.0093\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9896194605698336\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9843694470816509\n",
      "total_deaths %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%>\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 30 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths',\n",
      "       'date_30', 'date_30', 'total_cases_30', 'total_deaths_30'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 30 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_deaths_30\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C1_School closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C2_Workplace closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C3_Cancel public events\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                216       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 432\n",
      "Trainable params: 432\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1685 - mse: 0.1685\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0406 - mse: 0.0406\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0323 - mse: 0.0323\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0267 - mse: 0.0267\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 4s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0228 - mse: 0.0228\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0201 - mse: 0.0201\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0181 - mse: 0.0181\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 4s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0157 - mse: 0.0157\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0143 - mse: 0.0143\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0132 - mse: 0.0132\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0120 - mse: 0.0120\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 4s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0101 - mse: 0.0101\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0097 - mse: 0.0097\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0090 - mse: 0.0090\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0086 - mse: 0.0086\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0084 - mse: 0.0084\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0080 - mse: 0.0080\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0081 - mse: 0.0081\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0077 - mse: 0.0077\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 4s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0075 - mse: 0.0075\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0073 - mse: 0.0073\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0072 - mse: 0.0072\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0074 - mse: 0.0074\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0070 - mse: 0.0070\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0072 - mse: 0.0072\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0067 - mse: 0.0067\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0068 - mse: 0.0068\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 4s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0069 - mse: 0.0069\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0066 - mse: 0.0066\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0064 - mse: 0.0064\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0067 - mse: 0.0067\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0066 - mse: 0.0066\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0066 - mse: 0.0066\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0064 - mse: 0.0064\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0062 - mse: 0.0062\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0061 - mse: 0.0061\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0061 - mse: 0.0061\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0066 - mse: 0.0066\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0065 - mse: 0.0065\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0064 - mse: 0.0064\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0060 - mse: 0.0060\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0059 - mse: 0.0059\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 4s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0064 - mse: 0.0064\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0060 - mse: 0.0060\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0059 - mse: 0.0059\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0059 - mse: 0.0059\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0058 - mse: 0.0058\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0059 - mse: 0.0059\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0056 - mse: 0.0056\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0058 - mse: 0.0058\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0054 - mse: 0.0054\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0058 - mse: 0.0058\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0060 - mse: 0.0060\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0054 - mse: 0.0054\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0057 - mse: 0.0057\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0052 - mse: 0.0052\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0056 - mse: 0.0056\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0055 - mse: 0.0055\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0051 - mse: 0.0051\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0057 - mse: 0.0057\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0053 - mse: 0.0053\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0050 - mse: 0.0050\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0053 - mse: 0.0053\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0052 - mse: 0.0052\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0050 - mse: 0.0050\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0056 - mse: 0.0056\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0048 - mse: 0.0048\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0051 - mse: 0.0051\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0048 - mse: 0.0048\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0052 - mse: 0.0052\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0049 - mse: 0.0049\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0050 - mse: 0.0050\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0045 - mse: 0.0045\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0050 - mse: 0.0050\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0047 - mse: 0.0047\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 4s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0048 - mse: 0.0048\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0046 - mse: 0.0046\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0046 - mse: 0.0046\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0051 - mse: 0.0051\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0045 - mse: 0.0045\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0044 - mse: 0.0044\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0047 - mse: 0.0047\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0047 - mse: 0.0047\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0045 - mse: 0.0045\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0045 - mse: 0.0045\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0045 - mse: 0.0045\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0044 - mse: 0.0044\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0045 - mse: 0.0045\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0045 - mse: 0.0045\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0044 - mse: 0.0044\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0043 - mse: 0.0043\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0044 - mse: 0.0044\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0043 - mse: 0.0043\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0041 - mse: 0.0041\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0044 - mse: 0.0044\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0044 - mse: 0.0044\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0041 - mse: 0.0041\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0046 - mse: 0.0046\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9950262355309261\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9966478317317411\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 45 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths',\n",
      "       'date_45', 'date_45', 'total_cases_45', 'total_deaths_45'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 45 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_deaths_45\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C1_School closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C2_Workplace closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C3_Cancel public events\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                216       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 432\n",
      "Trainable params: 432\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.5948 - mse: 0.5948\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0886 - mse: 0.0886\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0706 - mse: 0.0706\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0570 - mse: 0.0570\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0469 - mse: 0.0469\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0390 - mse: 0.0390\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0340 - mse: 0.0340\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0296 - mse: 0.0296\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0271 - mse: 0.0271\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0245 - mse: 0.0245\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0226 - mse: 0.0226\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0215 - mse: 0.0215\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0205 - mse: 0.0205\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0197 - mse: 0.0197\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0195 - mse: 0.0195\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0188 - mse: 0.0188\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0178 - mse: 0.0178\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0171 - mse: 0.0171\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0177 - mse: 0.0177\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0168 - mse: 0.0168\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0156 - mse: 0.0156\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0163 - mse: 0.0163\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0156 - mse: 0.0156\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0154 - mse: 0.0154\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0145 - mse: 0.0145\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0151 - mse: 0.0151\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0146 - mse: 0.0146\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0145 - mse: 0.0145\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0138 - mse: 0.0138\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0135 - mse: 0.0135\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0138 - mse: 0.0138\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0145 - mse: 0.0145\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0129 - mse: 0.0129\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0129 - mse: 0.0129\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0139 - mse: 0.0139\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0129 - mse: 0.0129\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0129 - mse: 0.0129\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0124 - mse: 0.0124\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0136 - mse: 0.0136\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0123 - mse: 0.0123\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0124 - mse: 0.0124\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0124 - mse: 0.0124\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0131 - mse: 0.0131\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0123 - mse: 0.0123\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0119 - mse: 0.0119\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0124 - mse: 0.0124\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0124 - mse: 0.0124\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0113 - mse: 0.0113\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0120 - mse: 0.0120\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0119 - mse: 0.0119\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0126 - mse: 0.0126\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0122 - mse: 0.0122\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0115 - mse: 0.0115\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0115 - mse: 0.0115\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0115 - mse: 0.0115\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0124 - mse: 0.0124\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0110 - mse: 0.0110\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0118 - mse: 0.0118\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0107 - mse: 0.0107\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0116 - mse: 0.0116\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0104 - mse: 0.0104\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0113 - mse: 0.0113\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0111 - mse: 0.0111\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0106 - mse: 0.0106\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0106 - mse: 0.0106\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0108 - mse: 0.0108\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0106 - mse: 0.0106\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0103 - mse: 0.0103\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0110 - mse: 0.0110\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0109 - mse: 0.0109\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0103 - mse: 0.0103\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0100 - mse: 0.0100\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0109 - mse: 0.0109\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0096 - mse: 0.0096\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0102 - mse: 0.0102\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0095 - mse: 0.0095\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0103 - mse: 0.0103\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0100 - mse: 0.0100\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0095 - mse: 0.0095\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0097 - mse: 0.0097\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0097 - mse: 0.0097\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0097 - mse: 0.0097\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0096 - mse: 0.0096\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 4s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0095 - mse: 0.0095\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0095 - mse: 0.0095\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0092 - mse: 0.0092\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0098 - mse: 0.0098\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0100 - mse: 0.0100\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0096 - mse: 0.0096\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0098 - mse: 0.0098\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0092 - mse: 0.0092\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9906853850206181\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.993882748612258\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 60 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths',\n",
      "       'date_60', 'date_60', 'total_cases_60', 'total_deaths_60'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 60 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_deaths_60\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C1_School closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C2_Workplace closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C3_Cancel public events\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                216       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 432\n",
      "Trainable params: 432\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.3154 - mse: 0.3154\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1561 - mse: 0.1561\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.1200 - mse: 0.1200\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0943 - mse: 0.0943\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0764 - mse: 0.0764\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0648 - mse: 0.0648\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0586 - mse: 0.0586\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0513 - mse: 0.0513\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0482 - mse: 0.0482\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0456 - mse: 0.0456\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0449 - mse: 0.0449\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0406 - mse: 0.0406\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0395 - mse: 0.0395\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0383 - mse: 0.0383\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0368 - mse: 0.0368\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0364 - mse: 0.0364\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0352 - mse: 0.0352\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0349 - mse: 0.0349\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0344 - mse: 0.0344\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0333 - mse: 0.0333\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0329 - mse: 0.0329\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0318 - mse: 0.0318\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0314 - mse: 0.0314\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0313 - mse: 0.0313\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0306 - mse: 0.0306\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0297 - mse: 0.0297\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0300 - mse: 0.0300\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0293 - mse: 0.0293\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0303 - mse: 0.0303\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0287 - mse: 0.0287\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0280 - mse: 0.0280\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0286 - mse: 0.0286\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0281 - mse: 0.0281\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0298 - mse: 0.0298\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0274 - mse: 0.0274\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0271 - mse: 0.0271\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0269 - mse: 0.0269\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0273 - mse: 0.0273\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0261 - mse: 0.0261\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0260 - mse: 0.0260\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0255 - mse: 0.0255\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0255 - mse: 0.0255\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0254 - mse: 0.0254\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0244 - mse: 0.0244\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0247 - mse: 0.0247\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0258 - mse: 0.0258\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0242 - mse: 0.0242\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0242 - mse: 0.0242\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0248 - mse: 0.0248\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0262 - mse: 0.0262\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0233 - mse: 0.0233\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0237 - mse: 0.0237\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0238 - mse: 0.0238\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0243 - mse: 0.0243\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0228 - mse: 0.0228\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0229 - mse: 0.0229\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0222 - mse: 0.0222\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0227 - mse: 0.0227\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0229 - mse: 0.0229\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0218 - mse: 0.0218\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0220 - mse: 0.0220\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0213 - mse: 0.0213\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0219 - mse: 0.0219\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0211 - mse: 0.0211\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0221 - mse: 0.0221\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0208 - mse: 0.0208\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0216 - mse: 0.0216\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0247 - mse: 0.0247\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0202 - mse: 0.0202\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0200 - mse: 0.0200\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0211 - mse: 0.0211\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0199 - mse: 0.0199\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0224 - mse: 0.0224\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0196 - mse: 0.0196\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0210 - mse: 0.0210\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0200 - mse: 0.0200\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0208 - mse: 0.0208\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0195 - mse: 0.0195\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0190 - mse: 0.0190\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0196 - mse: 0.0196\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0204 - mse: 0.0204\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0191 - mse: 0.0191\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0205 - mse: 0.0205\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0187 - mse: 0.0187\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0195 - mse: 0.0195\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0239 - mse: 0.0239\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0186 - mse: 0.0186\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0187 - mse: 0.0187\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0182 - mse: 0.0182\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0189 - mse: 0.0189\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0186 - mse: 0.0186\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0191 - mse: 0.0191\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0183 - mse: 0.0183\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0182 - mse: 0.0182\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0194 - mse: 0.0194\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0183 - mse: 0.0183\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0194 - mse: 0.0194\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0181 - mse: 0.0181\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0184 - mse: 0.0184\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0188 - mse: 0.0188\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.982595142095746\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9786568903222358\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 75 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths',\n",
      "       'date_75', 'date_75', 'total_cases_75', 'total_deaths_75'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 75 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_deaths_75\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C1_School closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C2_Workplace closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C3_Cancel public events\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                216       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 432\n",
      "Trainable params: 432\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.4549 - mse: 0.4549\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.2213 - mse: 0.2213\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1685 - mse: 0.1685\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1288 - mse: 0.1288\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1021 - mse: 0.1021\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0837 - mse: 0.0837\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0716 - mse: 0.0716\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0638 - mse: 0.0638\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0601 - mse: 0.0601\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0558 - mse: 0.0558\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0528 - mse: 0.0528\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0484 - mse: 0.0484\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0456 - mse: 0.0456\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0434 - mse: 0.0434\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0416 - mse: 0.0416\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0397 - mse: 0.0397\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0383 - mse: 0.0383\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0363 - mse: 0.0363\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0368 - mse: 0.0368\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0355 - mse: 0.0355\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0346 - mse: 0.0346\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0347 - mse: 0.0347\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0334 - mse: 0.0334\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0318 - mse: 0.0318\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0324 - mse: 0.0324\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0309 - mse: 0.0309\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0305 - mse: 0.0305\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0313 - mse: 0.0313\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0298 - mse: 0.0298\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0298 - mse: 0.0298\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0326 - mse: 0.0326\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0286 - mse: 0.0286\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0287 - mse: 0.0287\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0284 - mse: 0.0284\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0282 - mse: 0.0282\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0282 - mse: 0.0282\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0278 - mse: 0.0278\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0290 - mse: 0.0290\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0277 - mse: 0.0277\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0288 - mse: 0.0288\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0272 - mse: 0.0272\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0282 - mse: 0.0282\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0272 - mse: 0.0272\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0275 - mse: 0.0275\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0276 - mse: 0.0276\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0264 - mse: 0.0264\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0271 - mse: 0.0271\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0269 - mse: 0.0269\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0264 - mse: 0.0264\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0261 - mse: 0.0261\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0264 - mse: 0.0264\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0268 - mse: 0.0268\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0258 - mse: 0.0258\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0258 - mse: 0.0258\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0265 - mse: 0.0265\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0248 - mse: 0.0248\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0255 - mse: 0.0255\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0258 - mse: 0.0258\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 6ms/step - loss: 0.0254 - mse: 0.0254\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0258 - mse: 0.0258\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0255 - mse: 0.0255\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0257 - mse: 0.0257\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0253 - mse: 0.0253\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0253 - mse: 0.0253\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0249 - mse: 0.0249\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0248 - mse: 0.0248\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0248 - mse: 0.0248\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0257 - mse: 0.0257\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0251 - mse: 0.0251\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0253 - mse: 0.0253\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0249 - mse: 0.0249\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0246 - mse: 0.0246\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0250 - mse: 0.0250\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0251 - mse: 0.0251\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0247 - mse: 0.0247\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0247 - mse: 0.0247\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0236 - mse: 0.0236\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0247 - mse: 0.0247\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0251 - mse: 0.0251\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0244 - mse: 0.0244\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0241 - mse: 0.0241\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0245 - mse: 0.0245\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0238 - mse: 0.0238\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0230 - mse: 0.0230\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0246 - mse: 0.0246\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0251 - mse: 0.0251\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0244 - mse: 0.0244\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0242 - mse: 0.0242\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0235 - mse: 0.0235\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0232 - mse: 0.0232\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0242 - mse: 0.0242\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0241 - mse: 0.0241\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0238 - mse: 0.0238\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0242 - mse: 0.0242\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0245 - mse: 0.0245\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0234 - mse: 0.0234\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0239 - mse: 0.0239\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0238 - mse: 0.0238\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0232 - mse: 0.0232\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0227 - mse: 0.0227\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.974628136242982\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9779735028500992\n",
      "total_cases %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%>\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 30 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events',\n",
      "       'C4_Restrictions on gatherings', 'C5_Close public transport',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths',\n",
      "       'date_30', 'date_30', 'total_cases_30', 'total_deaths_30'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 30 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_cases_30\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events', 'C4_Restrictions on gatherings', 'C5_Close public transport', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C1_School closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C2_Workplace closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C3_Cancel public events\n",
      "\n",
      "C4_Restrictions on gatherings\n",
      "\n",
      "C5_Close public transport\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                252       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 468\n",
      "Trainable params: 468\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1452 - mse: 0.1452\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0180 - mse: 0.0180\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0126 - mse: 0.0126\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0099 - mse: 0.0099\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0085 - mse: 0.0085\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0073 - mse: 0.0073\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0058 - mse: 0.0058\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0056 - mse: 0.0056\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0049 - mse: 0.0049\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0047 - mse: 0.0047\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0041 - mse: 0.0041\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0041 - mse: 0.0041\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0035 - mse: 0.0035\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0035 - mse: 0.0035\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0032 - mse: 0.0032\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0035 - mse: 0.0035\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0030 - mse: 0.0030\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0030 - mse: 0.0030\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0029 - mse: 0.0029\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0029 - mse: 0.0029\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0026 - mse: 0.0026\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0027 - mse: 0.0027\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0025 - mse: 0.0025\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0030 - mse: 0.0030\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0026 - mse: 0.0026\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0023 - mse: 0.0023\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0025 - mse: 0.0025\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0028 - mse: 0.0028\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0026 - mse: 0.0026\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0023 - mse: 0.0023\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0027 - mse: 0.0027\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0024 - mse: 0.0024\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0025 - mse: 0.0025\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0023 - mse: 0.0023\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0025 - mse: 0.0025\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0022 - mse: 0.0022\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0024 - mse: 0.0024\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0024 - mse: 0.0024\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0020 - mse: 0.0020\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0027 - mse: 0.0027\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0026 - mse: 0.0026\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0020 - mse: 0.0020\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0020 - mse: 0.0020\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0022 - mse: 0.0022\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0022 - mse: 0.0022\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0019 - mse: 0.0019\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0023 - mse: 0.0023\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0019 - mse: 0.0019\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0024 - mse: 0.0024\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0020 - mse: 0.0020\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0020 - mse: 0.0020\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0019 - mse: 0.0019\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0022 - mse: 0.0022\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0019 - mse: 0.0019\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0018 - mse: 0.0018\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0019 - mse: 0.0019\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0025 - mse: 0.0025\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0018 - mse: 0.0018\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0020 - mse: 0.0020\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0019 - mse: 0.0019\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 4s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0018 - mse: 0.0018\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 4s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0020 - mse: 0.0020\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0019 - mse: 0.0019\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0020 - mse: 0.0020\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0017 - mse: 0.0017\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0019 - mse: 0.0019\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0020 - mse: 0.0020\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0019 - mse: 0.0019\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0018 - mse: 0.0018\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0022 - mse: 0.0022\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0017 - mse: 0.0017\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0020 - mse: 0.0020\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0019 - mse: 0.0019\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0017 - mse: 0.0017\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0018 - mse: 0.0018\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0018 - mse: 0.0018\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0017 - mse: 0.0017\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0019 - mse: 0.0019\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0018 - mse: 0.0018\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0017 - mse: 0.0017\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0016 - mse: 0.0016\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0018 - mse: 0.0018\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0017 - mse: 0.0017\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0019 - mse: 0.0019\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0014 - mse: 0.0014\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0015 - mse: 0.0015\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0017 - mse: 0.0017\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0019 - mse: 0.0019\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0013 - mse: 0.0013\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0017 - mse: 0.0017\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0020 - mse: 0.0020\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0015 - mse: 0.0015\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0017 - mse: 0.0017\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0017 - mse: 0.0017\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0015 - mse: 0.0015\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0015 - mse: 0.0015\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0015 - mse: 0.0015\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0016 - mse: 0.0016\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0014 - mse: 0.0014\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0017 - mse: 0.0017\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9981775584666873\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9976338895486357\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 45 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events',\n",
      "       'C4_Restrictions on gatherings', 'C5_Close public transport',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths',\n",
      "       'date_45', 'date_45', 'total_cases_45', 'total_deaths_45'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 45 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_cases_45\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events', 'C4_Restrictions on gatherings', 'C5_Close public transport', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C1_School closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C2_Workplace closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C3_Cancel public events\n",
      "\n",
      "C4_Restrictions on gatherings\n",
      "\n",
      "C5_Close public transport\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                252       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 468\n",
      "Trainable params: 468\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.7146 - mse: 0.7146\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0477 - mse: 0.0477\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0319 - mse: 0.0319\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0266 - mse: 0.0266\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0226 - mse: 0.0226\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0203 - mse: 0.0203\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0176 - mse: 0.0176\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0159 - mse: 0.0159\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0142 - mse: 0.0142\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0131 - mse: 0.0131\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0130 - mse: 0.0130\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0122 - mse: 0.0122\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0118 - mse: 0.0118\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0115 - mse: 0.0115\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0105 - mse: 0.0105\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0101 - mse: 0.0101\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0100 - mse: 0.0100\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0093 - mse: 0.0093\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0092 - mse: 0.0092\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0089 - mse: 0.0089\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0086 - mse: 0.0086\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0092 - mse: 0.0092\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0081 - mse: 0.0081\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0077 - mse: 0.0077\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0081 - mse: 0.0081\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0085 - mse: 0.0085\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0073 - mse: 0.0073\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0074 - mse: 0.0074\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0096 - mse: 0.0096\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0068 - mse: 0.0068\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0069 - mse: 0.0069\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0076 - mse: 0.0076\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0068 - mse: 0.0068\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0082 - mse: 0.0082\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0068 - mse: 0.0068\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0067 - mse: 0.0067\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0066 - mse: 0.0066\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0071 - mse: 0.0071\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0069 - mse: 0.0069\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0063 - mse: 0.0063\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0066 - mse: 0.0066\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0064 - mse: 0.0064\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0066 - mse: 0.0066\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0061 - mse: 0.0061\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0067 - mse: 0.0067\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0062 - mse: 0.0062\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0077 - mse: 0.0077\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0058 - mse: 0.0058\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0069 - mse: 0.0069\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0060 - mse: 0.0060\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0065 - mse: 0.0065\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0064 - mse: 0.0064\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0068 - mse: 0.0068\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0059 - mse: 0.0059\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0066 - mse: 0.0066\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0061 - mse: 0.0061\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0058 - mse: 0.0058\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0060 - mse: 0.0060\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0065 - mse: 0.0065\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0054 - mse: 0.0054\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0057 - mse: 0.0057\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0056 - mse: 0.0056\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0060 - mse: 0.0060\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0055 - mse: 0.0055\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0052 - mse: 0.0052\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0064 - mse: 0.0064\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0051 - mse: 0.0051\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0051 - mse: 0.0051\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 4s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0058 - mse: 0.0058\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 4s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0056 - mse: 0.0056\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 4s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0051 - mse: 0.0051\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0052 - mse: 0.0052\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0051 - mse: 0.0051\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0055 - mse: 0.0055\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0062 - mse: 0.0062\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0049 - mse: 0.0049\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0051 - mse: 0.0051\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0052 - mse: 0.0052\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0058 - mse: 0.0058\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0048 - mse: 0.0048\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0050 - mse: 0.0050\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0053 - mse: 0.0053\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0060 - mse: 0.0060\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0050 - mse: 0.0050\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0051 - mse: 0.0051\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0058 - mse: 0.0058\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0047 - mse: 0.0047\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0047 - mse: 0.0047\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0053 - mse: 0.0053\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0050 - mse: 0.0050\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0051 - mse: 0.0051\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0049 - mse: 0.0049\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0053 - mse: 0.0053\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0050 - mse: 0.0050\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0047 - mse: 0.0047\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0048 - mse: 0.0048\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0051 - mse: 0.0051\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0061 - mse: 0.0061\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0049 - mse: 0.0049\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9955290391254037\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9950095174190472\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 60 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events',\n",
      "       'C4_Restrictions on gatherings', 'C5_Close public transport',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths',\n",
      "       'date_60', 'date_60', 'total_cases_60', 'total_deaths_60'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 60 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_cases_60\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events', 'C4_Restrictions on gatherings', 'C5_Close public transport', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C1_School closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C2_Workplace closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C3_Cancel public events\n",
      "\n",
      "C4_Restrictions on gatherings\n",
      "\n",
      "C5_Close public transport\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                252       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 468\n",
      "Trainable params: 468\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.3734 - mse: 0.3734\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0697 - mse: 0.0697\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0441 - mse: 0.0441\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0352 - mse: 0.0352\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0308 - mse: 0.0308\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0241 - mse: 0.0241\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0212 - mse: 0.0212\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0193 - mse: 0.0193\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0188 - mse: 0.0188\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0177 - mse: 0.0177\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0163 - mse: 0.0163\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0160 - mse: 0.0160\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0154 - mse: 0.0154\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0145 - mse: 0.0145\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0142 - mse: 0.0142\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0134 - mse: 0.0134\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0138 - mse: 0.0138\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0127 - mse: 0.0127\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0129 - mse: 0.0129\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0124 - mse: 0.0124\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0122 - mse: 0.0122\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0117 - mse: 0.0117\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0113 - mse: 0.0113\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0109 - mse: 0.0109\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0107 - mse: 0.0107\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0105 - mse: 0.0105\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0103 - mse: 0.0103\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0106 - mse: 0.0106\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0100 - mse: 0.0100\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0110 - mse: 0.0110\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0095 - mse: 0.0095\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0090 - mse: 0.0090\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0099 - mse: 0.0099\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0088 - mse: 0.0088\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0090 - mse: 0.0090\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0082 - mse: 0.0082\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0084 - mse: 0.0084\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0086 - mse: 0.0086\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0083 - mse: 0.0083\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0081 - mse: 0.0081\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0080 - mse: 0.0080\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0081 - mse: 0.0081\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0082 - mse: 0.0082\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0084 - mse: 0.0084\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0082 - mse: 0.0082\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0075 - mse: 0.0075\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0078 - mse: 0.0078\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0075 - mse: 0.0075\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0082 - mse: 0.0082\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0079 - mse: 0.0079\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0075 - mse: 0.0075\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0076 - mse: 0.0076\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0076 - mse: 0.0076\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0074 - mse: 0.0074\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0074 - mse: 0.0074\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0073 - mse: 0.0073\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0077 - mse: 0.0077\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0075 - mse: 0.0075\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0070 - mse: 0.0070\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0067 - mse: 0.0067\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0080 - mse: 0.0080\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0074 - mse: 0.0074\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0082 - mse: 0.0082\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0069 - mse: 0.0069\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0069 - mse: 0.0069\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0072 - mse: 0.0072\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0065 - mse: 0.0065\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0071 - mse: 0.0071\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0069 - mse: 0.0069\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0065 - mse: 0.0065\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0065 - mse: 0.0065\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0070 - mse: 0.0070\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0065 - mse: 0.0065\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0064 - mse: 0.0064\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0069 - mse: 0.0069\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0067 - mse: 0.0067\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0061 - mse: 0.0061\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0061 - mse: 0.0061A: \n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0063 - mse: 0.0063\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0061 - mse: 0.0061\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0068 - mse: 0.0068\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0060 - mse: 0.0060\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0063 - mse: 0.0063\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0061 - mse: 0.0061\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0064 - mse: 0.0064\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0062 - mse: 0.0062\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0065 - mse: 0.0065\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0060 - mse: 0.0060\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0059 - mse: 0.0059\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0064 - mse: 0.0064\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0062 - mse: 0.0062\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0058 - mse: 0.0058\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0060 - mse: 0.0060\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0062 - mse: 0.0062\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9930443235880292\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.991824308665043\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 75 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events',\n",
      "       'C4_Restrictions on gatherings', 'C5_Close public transport',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths',\n",
      "       'date_75', 'date_75', 'total_cases_75', 'total_deaths_75'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 75 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_cases_75\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events', 'C4_Restrictions on gatherings', 'C5_Close public transport', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C1_School closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C2_Workplace closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C3_Cancel public events\n",
      "\n",
      "C4_Restrictions on gatherings\n",
      "\n",
      "C5_Close public transport\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                252       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 468\n",
      "Trainable params: 468\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.5748 - mse: 0.5748\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1736 - mse: 0.1736\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.1207 - mse: 0.1207\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0941 - mse: 0.0941\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0725 - mse: 0.0725\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0599 - mse: 0.0599\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0536 - mse: 0.0536\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0455 - mse: 0.0455\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0378 - mse: 0.0378\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0363 - mse: 0.0363\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0340 - mse: 0.0340\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0320 - mse: 0.0320\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0297 - mse: 0.0297\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0361 - mse: 0.0361\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0241 - mse: 0.0241\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0221 - mse: 0.0221\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0248 - mse: 0.0248\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0225 - mse: 0.0225\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0207 - mse: 0.0207\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0225 - mse: 0.0225\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0196 - mse: 0.0196\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0188 - mse: 0.0188\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0174 - mse: 0.0174\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0217 - mse: 0.0217\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0163 - mse: 0.0163\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0209 - mse: 0.0209\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0193 - mse: 0.0193\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0159 - mse: 0.0159\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0144 - mse: 0.0144\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0153 - mse: 0.0153\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0265 - mse: 0.0265\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0141 - mse: 0.0141\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0138 - mse: 0.0138\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0143 - mse: 0.0143\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0133 - mse: 0.0133\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0155 - mse: 0.0155\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0212 - mse: 0.0212\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0129 - mse: 0.0129\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0152 - mse: 0.0152\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0128 - mse: 0.0128\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0115 - mse: 0.0115\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0119 - mse: 0.0119\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0120 - mse: 0.0120\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0122 - mse: 0.0122\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0110 - mse: 0.0110\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0122 - mse: 0.0122\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0119 - mse: 0.0119\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0114 - mse: 0.0114\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0106 - mse: 0.0106\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0120 - mse: 0.0120\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0109 - mse: 0.0109\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0108 - mse: 0.0108\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0111 - mse: 0.0111\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0110 - mse: 0.0110\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0132 - mse: 0.0132\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0098 - mse: 0.0098\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0101 - mse: 0.0101\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0101 - mse: 0.0101\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0102 - mse: 0.0102\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0117 - mse: 0.0117\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0110 - mse: 0.0110\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0110 - mse: 0.0110\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0101 - mse: 0.0101\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0086 - mse: 0.0086\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0097 - mse: 0.0097\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0110 - mse: 0.0110\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0101 - mse: 0.0101\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0087 - mse: 0.0087\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0090 - mse: 0.0090\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0106 - mse: 0.0106\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0093 - mse: 0.0093\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0087 - mse: 0.0087\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0101 - mse: 0.0101\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0085 - mse: 0.0085\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0088 - mse: 0.0088\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0084 - mse: 0.0084\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0088 - mse: 0.0088\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0103 - mse: 0.0103\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0087 - mse: 0.0087\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0085 - mse: 0.0085\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0118 - mse: 0.0118\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0107 - mse: 0.0107\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0080 - mse: 0.0080\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0080 - mse: 0.0080\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0088 - mse: 0.0088\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0085 - mse: 0.0085\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0084 - mse: 0.0084\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0095 - mse: 0.0095\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0086 - mse: 0.0086\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0090 - mse: 0.0090\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0082 - mse: 0.0082\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0089 - mse: 0.0089\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.992611532845813\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9961418637918437\n",
      "total_deaths %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%>\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 30 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events',\n",
      "       'C4_Restrictions on gatherings', 'C5_Close public transport',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths',\n",
      "       'date_30', 'date_30', 'total_cases_30', 'total_deaths_30'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 30 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_deaths_30\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events', 'C4_Restrictions on gatherings', 'C5_Close public transport', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C1_School closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C2_Workplace closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C3_Cancel public events\n",
      "\n",
      "C4_Restrictions on gatherings\n",
      "\n",
      "C5_Close public transport\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                252       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 468\n",
      "Trainable params: 468\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 1.0368 - mse: 1.0368\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.8241 - mse: 0.8241\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.7240 - mse: 0.7240\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.6417 - mse: 0.6417\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.5742 - mse: 0.5742\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.5183 - mse: 0.5183\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.4726 - mse: 0.4726\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.4360 - mse: 0.4360\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.4047 - mse: 0.4047\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.3735 - mse: 0.3735\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.3456 - mse: 0.3456\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.3196 - mse: 0.3196\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.2958 - mse: 0.2958\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.2737 - mse: 0.2737\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.2531 - mse: 0.2531\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.2338 - mse: 0.2338\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.2163 - mse: 0.2163\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.2003 - mse: 0.2003\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1847 - mse: 0.1847\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1710 - mse: 0.1710\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1578 - mse: 0.1578\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1457 - mse: 0.1457\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1348 - mse: 0.1348\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1244 - mse: 0.1244\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1149 - mse: 0.1149\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1067 - mse: 0.1067\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0982 - mse: 0.0982\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0913 - mse: 0.0913\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0844 - mse: 0.0844\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0786 - mse: 0.0786\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0727 - mse: 0.0727\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0678 - mse: 0.0678\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0636 - mse: 0.0636\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0590 - mse: 0.0590\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0550 - mse: 0.0550\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 4s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0519 - mse: 0.0519\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0486 - mse: 0.0486\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0458 - mse: 0.0458\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0428 - mse: 0.0428\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0403 - mse: 0.0403\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0384 - mse: 0.0384\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0360 - mse: 0.0360\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0342 - mse: 0.0342\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0326 - mse: 0.0326\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0308 - mse: 0.0308\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0290 - mse: 0.0290\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0277 - mse: 0.0277\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0266 - mse: 0.0266\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0266 - mse: 0.0266\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0242 - mse: 0.0242\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 4s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0232 - mse: 0.0232\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0224 - mse: 0.0224\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0214 - mse: 0.0214\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0207 - mse: 0.0207\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0202 - mse: 0.0202\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0193 - mse: 0.0193\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0186 - mse: 0.0186\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0179 - mse: 0.0179\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0175 - mse: 0.0175\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0171 - mse: 0.0171\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0177 - mse: 0.0177\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0156 - mse: 0.0156\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0152 - mse: 0.0152\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0153 - mse: 0.0153\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0144 - mse: 0.0144\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0144 - mse: 0.0144\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0140 - mse: 0.0140\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0138 - mse: 0.0138\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0135 - mse: 0.0135\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0130 - mse: 0.0130\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0129 - mse: 0.0129\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0121 - mse: 0.0121\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0131 - mse: 0.0131\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0117 - mse: 0.0117\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0109 - mse: 0.0109\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0111 - mse: 0.0111\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0102 - mse: 0.0102\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0114 - mse: 0.0114\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0100 - mse: 0.0100\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0099 - mse: 0.0099\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0099 - mse: 0.0099\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0096 - mse: 0.0096\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0093 - mse: 0.0093\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0092 - mse: 0.0092\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0086 - mse: 0.0086\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0089 - mse: 0.0089\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0087 - mse: 0.0087\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0092 - mse: 0.0092\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0084 - mse: 0.0084\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0082 - mse: 0.0082\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0086 - mse: 0.0086\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0084 - mse: 0.0084\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0081 - mse: 0.0081\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 4s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0079 - mse: 0.0079\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0080 - mse: 0.0080\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0082 - mse: 0.0082\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9927989799547322\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9922871683546008\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 45 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events',\n",
      "       'C4_Restrictions on gatherings', 'C5_Close public transport',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths',\n",
      "       'date_45', 'date_45', 'total_cases_45', 'total_deaths_45'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 45 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_deaths_45\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events', 'C4_Restrictions on gatherings', 'C5_Close public transport', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C1_School closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C2_Workplace closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C3_Cancel public events\n",
      "\n",
      "C4_Restrictions on gatherings\n",
      "\n",
      "C5_Close public transport\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                252       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 468\n",
      "Trainable params: 468\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.3881 - mse: 0.3881\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0964 - mse: 0.0964\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0767 - mse: 0.0767\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0624 - mse: 0.0624\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0533 - mse: 0.0533\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0468 - mse: 0.0468\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0436 - mse: 0.0436\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0395 - mse: 0.0395\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0372 - mse: 0.0372\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0353 - mse: 0.0353\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0327 - mse: 0.0327\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0315 - mse: 0.0315\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0303 - mse: 0.0303\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0283 - mse: 0.0283\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0271 - mse: 0.0271\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0242 - mse: 0.0242\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0239 - mse: 0.0239\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0229 - mse: 0.0229\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0206 - mse: 0.0206\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0199 - mse: 0.0199\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0192 - mse: 0.0192\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0185 - mse: 0.0185\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0179 - mse: 0.0179\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0174 - mse: 0.0174\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0164 - mse: 0.0164\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0163 - mse: 0.0163\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0161 - mse: 0.0161\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0153 - mse: 0.0153\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0160 - mse: 0.0160\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0148 - mse: 0.0148\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0150 - mse: 0.0150\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0146 - mse: 0.0146\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0145 - mse: 0.0145\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0145 - mse: 0.0145\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0144 - mse: 0.0144\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0145 - mse: 0.0145\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0138 - mse: 0.0138\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0139 - mse: 0.0139\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0143 - mse: 0.0143\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0133 - mse: 0.0133\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0143 - mse: 0.0143\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0139 - mse: 0.0139\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0134 - mse: 0.0134\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0131 - mse: 0.0131\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0144 - mse: 0.0144\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0134 - mse: 0.0134\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0134 - mse: 0.0134\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0131 - mse: 0.0131\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0131 - mse: 0.0131\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0131 - mse: 0.0131\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0133 - mse: 0.0133\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0135 - mse: 0.0135\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0130 - mse: 0.0130\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0128 - mse: 0.0128\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0132 - mse: 0.0132\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0126 - mse: 0.0126\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0131 - mse: 0.0131\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0127 - mse: 0.0127\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0130 - mse: 0.0130\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0126 - mse: 0.0126\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0130 - mse: 0.0130\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0124 - mse: 0.0124\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0123 - mse: 0.0123\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0130 - mse: 0.0130\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0129 - mse: 0.0129\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0123 - mse: 0.0123\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0124 - mse: 0.0124\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0122 - mse: 0.0122\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0128 - mse: 0.0128\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0125 - mse: 0.0125\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0117 - mse: 0.0117\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0122 - mse: 0.0122\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0127 - mse: 0.0127\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0119 - mse: 0.0119\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0117 - mse: 0.0117\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0151 - mse: 0.0151\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0118 - mse: 0.0118\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0116 - mse: 0.0116\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0117 - mse: 0.0117\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0126 - mse: 0.0126\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0118 - mse: 0.0118\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0118 - mse: 0.0118\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0120 - mse: 0.0120\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0119 - mse: 0.0119\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0119 - mse: 0.0119\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0119 - mse: 0.0119\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0126 - mse: 0.0126\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0114 - mse: 0.0114\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0115 - mse: 0.0115\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0115 - mse: 0.0115\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0118 - mse: 0.0118\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0115 - mse: 0.0115\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0117 - mse: 0.0117\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0113 - mse: 0.0113\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0113 - mse: 0.0113\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0113 - mse: 0.0113\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0116 - mse: 0.0116\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0113 - mse: 0.0113\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0110 - mse: 0.0110\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9888874992286237\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9852761148354182\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 60 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events',\n",
      "       'C4_Restrictions on gatherings', 'C5_Close public transport',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths',\n",
      "       'date_60', 'date_60', 'total_cases_60', 'total_deaths_60'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 60 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_deaths_60\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events', 'C4_Restrictions on gatherings', 'C5_Close public transport', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C1_School closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C2_Workplace closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C3_Cancel public events\n",
      "\n",
      "C4_Restrictions on gatherings\n",
      "\n",
      "C5_Close public transport\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                252       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 468\n",
      "Trainable params: 468\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.2836 - mse: 0.2836\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1383 - mse: 0.1383\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1064 - mse: 0.1064\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0857 - mse: 0.0857\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0723 - mse: 0.0723\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0612 - mse: 0.0612\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0540 - mse: 0.0540\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0511 - mse: 0.0511\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0471 - mse: 0.0471\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0445 - mse: 0.0445\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0425 - mse: 0.0425\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0394 - mse: 0.0394\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0394 - mse: 0.0394\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0366 - mse: 0.0366\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0352 - mse: 0.0352\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0343 - mse: 0.0343\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0336 - mse: 0.0336\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0337 - mse: 0.0337\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0328 - mse: 0.0328\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0326 - mse: 0.0326\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0328 - mse: 0.0328\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0312 - mse: 0.0312\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0311 - mse: 0.0311\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0311 - mse: 0.0311\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0303 - mse: 0.0303\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0304 - mse: 0.0304\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0293 - mse: 0.0293\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0293 - mse: 0.0293\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0282 - mse: 0.0282\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0280 - mse: 0.0280\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0298 - mse: 0.0298\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0271 - mse: 0.0271\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0281 - mse: 0.0281\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0268 - mse: 0.0268\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0272 - mse: 0.0272\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0274 - mse: 0.0274\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0266 - mse: 0.0266\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0268 - mse: 0.0268\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0285 - mse: 0.0285\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0260 - mse: 0.0260\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0254 - mse: 0.0254\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0266 - mse: 0.0266\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0256 - mse: 0.0256\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0251 - mse: 0.0251\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0269 - mse: 0.0269\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0247 - mse: 0.0247\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0252 - mse: 0.0252\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0251 - mse: 0.0251\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0247 - mse: 0.0247\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0247 - mse: 0.0247\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0244 - mse: 0.0244\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0247 - mse: 0.0247\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0240 - mse: 0.0240\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0239 - mse: 0.0239\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0239 - mse: 0.0239\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0240 - mse: 0.0240\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0237 - mse: 0.0237\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0239 - mse: 0.0239\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0233 - mse: 0.0233\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0229 - mse: 0.0229\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0229 - mse: 0.0229\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0235 - mse: 0.0235\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0235 - mse: 0.0235\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0228 - mse: 0.0228\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0228 - mse: 0.0228\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0236 - mse: 0.0236\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0225 - mse: 0.0225\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0231 - mse: 0.0231\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0225 - mse: 0.0225\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0225 - mse: 0.0225\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0221 - mse: 0.0221\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0219 - mse: 0.0219\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0223 - mse: 0.0223\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0223 - mse: 0.0223\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0217 - mse: 0.0217\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0219 - mse: 0.0219\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0219 - mse: 0.0219\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0223 - mse: 0.0223\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0213 - mse: 0.0213\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0220 - mse: 0.0220\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0217 - mse: 0.0217\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0208 - mse: 0.0208\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0210 - mse: 0.0210\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0212 - mse: 0.0212\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0213 - mse: 0.0213\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0215 - mse: 0.0215\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0214 - mse: 0.0214\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0207 - mse: 0.0207\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0206 - mse: 0.0206\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0208 - mse: 0.0208\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0207 - mse: 0.0207\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0209 - mse: 0.0209\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0210 - mse: 0.0210\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0206 - mse: 0.0206\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0211 - mse: 0.0211\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0204 - mse: 0.0204\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0206 - mse: 0.0206\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0209 - mse: 0.0209\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0199 - mse: 0.0199\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0201 - mse: 0.0201\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9803344651408346\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9793246988991542\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 75 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events',\n",
      "       'C4_Restrictions on gatherings', 'C5_Close public transport',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths',\n",
      "       'date_75', 'date_75', 'total_cases_75', 'total_deaths_75'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 75 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_deaths_75\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C1_School closing', 'C2_Workplace closing', 'C3_Cancel public events', 'C4_Restrictions on gatherings', 'C5_Close public transport', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C1_School closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C2_Workplace closing\n",
      "\n",
      "C3_Cancel public events\n",
      "\n",
      "C4_Restrictions on gatherings\n",
      "\n",
      "C5_Close public transport\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                252       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 468\n",
      "Trainable params: 468\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 1.0357 - mse: 1.0357\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.9040 - mse: 0.9040\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.8194 - mse: 0.8194\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.7528 - mse: 0.7528\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.6971 - mse: 0.6971\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.6402 - mse: 0.6402\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.5916 - mse: 0.5916\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.5498 - mse: 0.5498\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.5118 - mse: 0.5118\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.4802 - mse: 0.4802\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.4538 - mse: 0.4538\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.4316 - mse: 0.4316\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.4093 - mse: 0.4093\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.3891 - mse: 0.3891\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.3701 - mse: 0.3701\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.3505 - mse: 0.3505\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.3333 - mse: 0.3333\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.3160 - mse: 0.3160\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.2977 - mse: 0.2977\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.2811 - mse: 0.2811\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.2665 - mse: 0.2665\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.2504 - mse: 0.2504\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.2360 - mse: 0.2360\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.2290 - mse: 0.2290\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.2104 - mse: 0.2104\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1987 - mse: 0.1987\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1878 - mse: 0.1878\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.1770 - mse: 0.1770\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.1678 - mse: 0.1678\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.1580 - mse: 0.1580\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1496 - mse: 0.1496\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1414 - mse: 0.1414\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1346 - mse: 0.1346\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1286 - mse: 0.1286\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.1215 - mse: 0.1215\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1160 - mse: 0.1160\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1105 - mse: 0.1105\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1070 - mse: 0.1070\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1006 - mse: 0.1006\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0954 - mse: 0.0954\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0920 - mse: 0.0920\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0884 - mse: 0.0884\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0847 - mse: 0.0847\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0799 - mse: 0.0799\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0786 - mse: 0.0786\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0745 - mse: 0.0745\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0730 - mse: 0.0730\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0702 - mse: 0.0702\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0684 - mse: 0.0684\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0654 - mse: 0.0654\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0630 - mse: 0.0630A: \n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0620 - mse: 0.0620\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0596 - mse: 0.0596\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0592 - mse: 0.0592\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0569 - mse: 0.0569\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0555 - mse: 0.0555\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0534 - mse: 0.0534\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0524 - mse: 0.0524\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0517 - mse: 0.0517\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0505 - mse: 0.0505\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0492 - mse: 0.0492\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0498 - mse: 0.0498\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0464 - mse: 0.0464\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0463 - mse: 0.0463\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0451 - mse: 0.0451\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0448 - mse: 0.0448\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0425 - mse: 0.0425\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0426 - mse: 0.0426\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0425 - mse: 0.0425\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0411 - mse: 0.0411\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0401 - mse: 0.0401\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0403 - mse: 0.0403\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0391 - mse: 0.0391\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0389 - mse: 0.0389\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0395 - mse: 0.0395\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0380 - mse: 0.0380\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0374 - mse: 0.0374\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0380 - mse: 0.0380\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0371 - mse: 0.0371\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0377 - mse: 0.0377\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0432 - mse: 0.0432\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0382 - mse: 0.0382\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0372 - mse: 0.0372\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0361 - mse: 0.0361\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0349 - mse: 0.0349\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0366 - mse: 0.0366\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0351 - mse: 0.0351\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0352 - mse: 0.0352\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0354 - mse: 0.0354\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0349 - mse: 0.0349\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0339 - mse: 0.0339\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0338 - mse: 0.0338\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0341 - mse: 0.0341\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0344 - mse: 0.0344\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0340 - mse: 0.0340\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0333 - mse: 0.0333\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0337 - mse: 0.0337\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0337 - mse: 0.0337\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0327 - mse: 0.0327\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0319 - mse: 0.0319\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9659379670200552\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9677036401200451\n",
      "total_cases %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%>\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 30 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'E1_Income support', 'total_cases',\n",
      "       'total_deaths', 'date_30', 'date_30', 'total_cases_30',\n",
      "       'total_deaths_30'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 30 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_cases_30\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'E1_Income support', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "E1_Income support\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                180       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 396\n",
      "Trainable params: 396\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.9538 - mse: 0.9538\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.8521 - mse: 0.8521\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.7875 - mse: 0.7875\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 4s 5ms/step - loss: 0.7326 - mse: 0.7326\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.6848 - mse: 0.6848\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.6411 - mse: 0.6411\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.6003 - mse: 0.6003\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.5625 - mse: 0.5625\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.5279 - mse: 0.5279\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.4961 - mse: 0.4961\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.4662 - mse: 0.4662\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.4380 - mse: 0.4380\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.4109 - mse: 0.4109\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.3864 - mse: 0.3864\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.3627 - mse: 0.3627\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.3412 - mse: 0.3412\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.3220 - mse: 0.3220\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.3038 - mse: 0.3038\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.2860 - mse: 0.2860\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.2694 - mse: 0.2694\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.2544 - mse: 0.2544\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.2397 - mse: 0.2397\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.2262 - mse: 0.2262\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.2141 - mse: 0.2141\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.2026 - mse: 0.2026\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.1919 - mse: 0.1919\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1809 - mse: 0.1809\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1707 - mse: 0.1707\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1622 - mse: 0.1622\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1537 - mse: 0.1537\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1452 - mse: 0.1452\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1380 - mse: 0.1380\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1317 - mse: 0.1317\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1240 - mse: 0.1240\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.1178 - mse: 0.1178\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1121 - mse: 0.1121\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1078 - mse: 0.1078\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1021 - mse: 0.1021\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0984 - mse: 0.0984\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0927 - mse: 0.0927\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0886 - mse: 0.0886\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0854 - mse: 0.0854\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0813 - mse: 0.0813\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0772 - mse: 0.0772\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0738 - mse: 0.0738\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0707 - mse: 0.0707\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0680 - mse: 0.0680\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0645 - mse: 0.0645\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0615 - mse: 0.0615\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0603 - mse: 0.0603\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0565 - mse: 0.0565\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0541 - mse: 0.0541\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0518 - mse: 0.0518\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0492 - mse: 0.0492\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0490 - mse: 0.0490\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0471 - mse: 0.0471\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 4s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0433 - mse: 0.0433\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 4s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0419 - mse: 0.0419\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0403 - mse: 0.0403\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0389 - mse: 0.0389\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0369 - mse: 0.0369\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0356 - mse: 0.0356\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0344 - mse: 0.0344\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0326 - mse: 0.0326\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0312 - mse: 0.0312\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0299 - mse: 0.0299\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0292 - mse: 0.0292\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0285 - mse: 0.0285\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0264 - mse: 0.0264\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0251 - mse: 0.0251\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0245 - mse: 0.0245\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0238 - mse: 0.0238\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0222 - mse: 0.0222\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0214 - mse: 0.0214\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0210 - mse: 0.0210\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0198 - mse: 0.0198\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0202 - mse: 0.0202\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0184 - mse: 0.0184\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0179 - mse: 0.0179\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0168 - mse: 0.0168\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0172 - mse: 0.0172\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0153 - mse: 0.0153\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0162 - mse: 0.0162\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0152 - mse: 0.0152\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0139 - mse: 0.0139\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0137 - mse: 0.0137\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0137 - mse: 0.0137\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0130 - mse: 0.0130\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0126 - mse: 0.0126\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0115 - mse: 0.0115\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0120 - mse: 0.0120\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0120 - mse: 0.0120\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0114 - mse: 0.0114\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0105 - mse: 0.0105\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0100 - mse: 0.0100\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0101 - mse: 0.0101\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0097 - mse: 0.0097\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0102 - mse: 0.0102\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0093 - mse: 0.0093\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0090 - mse: 0.0090\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9915258317865312\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9896175559365735\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 45 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'E1_Income support', 'total_cases',\n",
      "       'total_deaths', 'date_45', 'date_45', 'total_cases_45',\n",
      "       'total_deaths_45'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 45 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_cases_45\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'E1_Income support', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "E1_Income support\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                180       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 396\n",
      "Trainable params: 396\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.2323 - mse: 0.2323\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0581 - mse: 0.0581\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0460 - mse: 0.0460\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0354 - mse: 0.0354\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0269 - mse: 0.0269\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0205 - mse: 0.0205\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0250 - mse: 0.0250\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0149 - mse: 0.0149\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0134 - mse: 0.0134\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0114 - mse: 0.0114\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0102 - mse: 0.0102\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0114 - mse: 0.0114\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0088 - mse: 0.0088\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0097 - mse: 0.0097\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0090 - mse: 0.0090\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0081 - mse: 0.0081\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0081 - mse: 0.0081\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0071 - mse: 0.0071\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0077 - mse: 0.0077\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0083 - mse: 0.0083\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0070 - mse: 0.0070\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0061 - mse: 0.0061\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0082 - mse: 0.0082\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0061 - mse: 0.0061\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0078 - mse: 0.0078\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0081 - mse: 0.0081\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0059 - mse: 0.0059\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0056 - mse: 0.0056\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0095 - mse: 0.0095\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0057 - mse: 0.0057\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0054 - mse: 0.0054\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0075 - mse: 0.0075\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0067 - mse: 0.0067\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0061 - mse: 0.0061\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0056 - mse: 0.0056\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0064 - mse: 0.0064\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0055 - mse: 0.0055\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0059 - mse: 0.0059\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0054 - mse: 0.0054\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0060 - mse: 0.0060\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0084 - mse: 0.0084\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0057 - mse: 0.0057\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0055 - mse: 0.0055\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0053 - mse: 0.0053\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0063 - mse: 0.0063\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0053 - mse: 0.0053\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0058 - mse: 0.0058\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0057 - mse: 0.0057\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0059 - mse: 0.0059\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0046 - mse: 0.0046\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0052 - mse: 0.0052\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0050 - mse: 0.0050\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0058 - mse: 0.0058\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0054 - mse: 0.0054\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0048 - mse: 0.0048\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0050 - mse: 0.0050\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0052 - mse: 0.0052\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0061 - mse: 0.0061\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0050 - mse: 0.0050\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0048 - mse: 0.0048\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0052 - mse: 0.0052\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0055 - mse: 0.0055\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0046 - mse: 0.0046\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0059 - mse: 0.0059\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0050 - mse: 0.0050\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0050 - mse: 0.0050\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0051 - mse: 0.0051\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0046 - mse: 0.0046\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0049 - mse: 0.0049\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0065 - mse: 0.0065\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0045 - mse: 0.0045\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0045 - mse: 0.0045\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0075 - mse: 0.0075\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0045 - mse: 0.0045\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0046 - mse: 0.0046\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0048 - mse: 0.0048\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0054 - mse: 0.0054\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0047 - mse: 0.0047\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0050 - mse: 0.0050\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0048 - mse: 0.0048\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0053 - mse: 0.0053\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0043 - mse: 0.0043\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0046 - mse: 0.0046\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0053 - mse: 0.0053\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0044 - mse: 0.0044\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0045 - mse: 0.0045\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0051 - mse: 0.0051\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0044 - mse: 0.0044\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0044 - mse: 0.0044\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0046 - mse: 0.0046\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0058 - mse: 0.0058\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0047 - mse: 0.0047\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0046 - mse: 0.0046\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0042 - mse: 0.0042\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0053 - mse: 0.0053\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0051 - mse: 0.0051\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 4s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0044 - mse: 0.0044\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0044 - mse: 0.0044\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0044 - mse: 0.0044\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9956052159695763\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9920380390916451\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 60 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'E1_Income support', 'total_cases',\n",
      "       'total_deaths', 'date_60', 'date_60', 'total_cases_60',\n",
      "       'total_deaths_60'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 60 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_cases_60\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'E1_Income support', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "E1_Income support\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                180       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 396\n",
      "Trainable params: 396\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.2867 - mse: 0.2867\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0945 - mse: 0.0945\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0799 - mse: 0.0799\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0682 - mse: 0.0682\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0561 - mse: 0.0561\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0505 - mse: 0.0505\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0444 - mse: 0.0444\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0413 - mse: 0.0413\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0374 - mse: 0.0374\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0342 - mse: 0.0342\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0236 - mse: 0.0236\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0213 - mse: 0.0213\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0211 - mse: 0.0211\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0182 - mse: 0.0182\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0172 - mse: 0.0172\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0156 - mse: 0.0156\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0168 - mse: 0.0168\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0159 - mse: 0.0159\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0145 - mse: 0.0145\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0132 - mse: 0.0132\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0166 - mse: 0.0166\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0124 - mse: 0.0124\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0129 - mse: 0.0129\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0161 - mse: 0.0161\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0121 - mse: 0.0121\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0129 - mse: 0.0129\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0122 - mse: 0.0122\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0122 - mse: 0.0122\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0121 - mse: 0.0121\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0117 - mse: 0.0117\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0126 - mse: 0.0126\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0119 - mse: 0.0119\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0122 - mse: 0.0122\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0116 - mse: 0.0116\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0121 - mse: 0.0121\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0117 - mse: 0.0117\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0110 - mse: 0.0110\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0104 - mse: 0.0104\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0121 - mse: 0.0121\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0106 - mse: 0.0106\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0106 - mse: 0.0106\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0110 - mse: 0.0110\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0118 - mse: 0.0118\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0104 - mse: 0.0104\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0102 - mse: 0.0102\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0099 - mse: 0.0099\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0099 - mse: 0.0099\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0107 - mse: 0.0107\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0100 - mse: 0.0100\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0096 - mse: 0.0096\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0093 - mse: 0.0093\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0125 - mse: 0.0125\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0092 - mse: 0.0092\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0089 - mse: 0.0089\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0093 - mse: 0.0093\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0088 - mse: 0.0088\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0089 - mse: 0.0089\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0101 - mse: 0.0101\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0096 - mse: 0.0096\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0084 - mse: 0.0084\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0104 - mse: 0.0104\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0086 - mse: 0.0086\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0083 - mse: 0.0083\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0080 - mse: 0.0080\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0080 - mse: 0.0080\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0098 - mse: 0.0098\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0079 - mse: 0.0079\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0084 - mse: 0.0084\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0072 - mse: 0.0072\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0075 - mse: 0.0075\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0084 - mse: 0.0084\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0086 - mse: 0.0086\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0078 - mse: 0.0078\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0074 - mse: 0.0074\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0079 - mse: 0.0079\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0071 - mse: 0.0071\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0082 - mse: 0.0082\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0072 - mse: 0.0072\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0079 - mse: 0.0079\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0067 - mse: 0.0067\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0069 - mse: 0.0069\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0070 - mse: 0.0070\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0069 - mse: 0.0069\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0079 - mse: 0.0079\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0072 - mse: 0.0072\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0076 - mse: 0.0076\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0073 - mse: 0.0073\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0065 - mse: 0.0065\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0084 - mse: 0.0084\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0070 - mse: 0.0070\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0069 - mse: 0.0069\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0077 - mse: 0.0077\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0081 - mse: 0.0081\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0069 - mse: 0.0069\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0074 - mse: 0.0074\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0087 - mse: 0.0087\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9928909589651758\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9944243488125163\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 75 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'E1_Income support', 'total_cases',\n",
      "       'total_deaths', 'date_75', 'date_75', 'total_cases_75',\n",
      "       'total_deaths_75'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 75 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_cases_75\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'E1_Income support', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "E1_Income support\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                180       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 396\n",
      "Trainable params: 396\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.4761 - mse: 0.4761\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1654 - mse: 0.1654\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.1266 - mse: 0.1266\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0915 - mse: 0.0915\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0666 - mse: 0.0666\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0479 - mse: 0.0479\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0392 - mse: 0.0392\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0306 - mse: 0.0306\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0275 - mse: 0.0275\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0265 - mse: 0.0265\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0247 - mse: 0.0247\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0225 - mse: 0.0225\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0210 - mse: 0.0210\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0200 - mse: 0.0200\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0275 - mse: 0.0275\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0208 - mse: 0.0208\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0178 - mse: 0.0178\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0183 - mse: 0.0183\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0195 - mse: 0.0195\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0175 - mse: 0.0175\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0186 - mse: 0.0186\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0162 - mse: 0.0162\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0164 - mse: 0.0164\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0256 - mse: 0.0256\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0147 - mse: 0.0147\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0155 - mse: 0.0155\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0143 - mse: 0.0143\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0151 - mse: 0.0151\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0149 - mse: 0.0149\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0147 - mse: 0.0147\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0212 - mse: 0.0212\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0193 - mse: 0.0193\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0147 - mse: 0.0147\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0173 - mse: 0.0173\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0158 - mse: 0.0158\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0166 - mse: 0.0166\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0157 - mse: 0.0157\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0142 - mse: 0.0142\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0182 - mse: 0.0182\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0156 - mse: 0.0156\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0150 - mse: 0.0150\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0152 - mse: 0.0152\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0158 - mse: 0.0158\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0137 - mse: 0.0137\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0155 - mse: 0.0155\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0136 - mse: 0.0136\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0151 - mse: 0.0151\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0139 - mse: 0.0139\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0140 - mse: 0.0140\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0165 - mse: 0.0165\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0131 - mse: 0.0131\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0129 - mse: 0.0129\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0128 - mse: 0.0128\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0132 - mse: 0.0132\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0152 - mse: 0.0152\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0130 - mse: 0.0130\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0122 - mse: 0.0122\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0129 - mse: 0.0129\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0128 - mse: 0.0128\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0126 - mse: 0.0126\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0132 - mse: 0.0132\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0119 - mse: 0.0119\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0128 - mse: 0.0128\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0124 - mse: 0.0124\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0129 - mse: 0.0129\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0132 - mse: 0.0132\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - ETA: 0s - loss: 0.0111 - mse: 0.011 - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0118 - mse: 0.0118\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0125 - mse: 0.0125\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0115 - mse: 0.0115\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0125 - mse: 0.0125\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0124 - mse: 0.0124\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0107 - mse: 0.0107\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0122 - mse: 0.0122\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0109 - mse: 0.0109\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0115 - mse: 0.0115\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0122 - mse: 0.0122\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0108 - mse: 0.0108\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0106 - mse: 0.0106\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0119 - mse: 0.0119\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0110 - mse: 0.0110\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0108 - mse: 0.0108\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0110 - mse: 0.0110\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0106 - mse: 0.0106\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0108 - mse: 0.0108\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0117 - mse: 0.0117\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0103 - mse: 0.0103\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0105 - mse: 0.0105\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0105 - mse: 0.0105\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0111 - mse: 0.0111\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0103 - mse: 0.0103\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0108 - mse: 0.0108\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0106 - mse: 0.0106\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.990098226210899\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9947529181875333\n",
      "total_deaths %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%>\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 30 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'E1_Income support', 'total_cases',\n",
      "       'total_deaths', 'date_30', 'date_30', 'total_cases_30',\n",
      "       'total_deaths_30'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 30 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_deaths_30\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'E1_Income support', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "E1_Income support\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                180       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 396\n",
      "Trainable params: 396\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.2937 - mse: 0.2937\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0380 - mse: 0.0380\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0277 - mse: 0.0277\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0213 - mse: 0.0213\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0184 - mse: 0.0184\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0168 - mse: 0.0168\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0148 - mse: 0.0148\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0132 - mse: 0.0132\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0124 - mse: 0.0124\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0114 - mse: 0.0114\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0100 - mse: 0.0100\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0103 - mse: 0.0103\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0093 - mse: 0.0093\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0089 - mse: 0.0089\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0083 - mse: 0.0083\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0084 - mse: 0.0084\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0076 - mse: 0.0076\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0073 - mse: 0.0073\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0084 - mse: 0.0084\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0067 - mse: 0.0067\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0064 - mse: 0.0064\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0065 - mse: 0.0065\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0060 - mse: 0.0060\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0056 - mse: 0.0056\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0053 - mse: 0.0053\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0051 - mse: 0.0051\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0059 - mse: 0.0059\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0046 - mse: 0.0046\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0047 - mse: 0.0047\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0046 - mse: 0.0046\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0049 - mse: 0.0049\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0045 - mse: 0.0045\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0048 - mse: 0.0048\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0042 - mse: 0.0042\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0047 - mse: 0.0047\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0043 - mse: 0.0043\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0044 - mse: 0.0044\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0043 - mse: 0.0043\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0044 - mse: 0.0044\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0040 - mse: 0.0040\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0045 - mse: 0.0045\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0039 - mse: 0.0039\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0041 - mse: 0.0041\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0042 - mse: 0.0042\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0044 - mse: 0.0044\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0038 - mse: 0.0038\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0038 - mse: 0.0038\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0039 - mse: 0.0039\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0041 - mse: 0.0041\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0046 - mse: 0.0046\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 4s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0035 - mse: 0.0035\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0038 - mse: 0.0038\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0037 - mse: 0.0037\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 4s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0039 - mse: 0.0039\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0035 - mse: 0.0035\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0037 - mse: 0.0037\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0035 - mse: 0.0035\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0040 - mse: 0.0040\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0033 - mse: 0.0033\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0035 - mse: 0.0035\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0038 - mse: 0.0038\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0036 - mse: 0.0036\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0035 - mse: 0.0035\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0034 - mse: 0.0034\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0036 - mse: 0.0036\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0035 - mse: 0.0035\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0034 - mse: 0.0034\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0037 - mse: 0.0037\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0035 - mse: 0.0035\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0034 - mse: 0.0034\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0036 - mse: 0.0036\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0033 - mse: 0.0033\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0033 - mse: 0.0033\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0037 - mse: 0.0037\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0032 - mse: 0.0032\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0035 - mse: 0.0035\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0036 - mse: 0.0036\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0031 - mse: 0.0031\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0031 - mse: 0.0031\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0033 - mse: 0.0033\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0033 - mse: 0.0033\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0032 - mse: 0.0032\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0032 - mse: 0.0032\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0032 - mse: 0.0032\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0033 - mse: 0.0033\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0033 - mse: 0.0033\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0033 - mse: 0.0033\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0031 - mse: 0.0031\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0031 - mse: 0.0031\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0034 - mse: 0.0034\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0029 - mse: 0.0029\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0030 - mse: 0.0030\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0030 - mse: 0.0030\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0032 - mse: 0.0032\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0030 - mse: 0.0030\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0029 - mse: 0.0029\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0029 - mse: 0.0029\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0030 - mse: 0.0030\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0030 - mse: 0.0030\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "793/793 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0030 - mse: 0.0030\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9975349596251082\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9985400624879204\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 45 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'E1_Income support', 'total_cases',\n",
      "       'total_deaths', 'date_45', 'date_45', 'total_cases_45',\n",
      "       'total_deaths_45'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 45 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_deaths_45\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'E1_Income support', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "E1_Income support\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                180       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 396\n",
      "Trainable params: 396\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.5754 - mse: 0.5754\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0954 - mse: 0.0954\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0617 - mse: 0.0617\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0471 - mse: 0.0471\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0387 - mse: 0.0387\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0325 - mse: 0.0325\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0284 - mse: 0.0284\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0256 - mse: 0.0256\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0226 - mse: 0.0226\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0215 - mse: 0.0215\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0208 - mse: 0.0208\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0202 - mse: 0.0202\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0192 - mse: 0.0192\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0188 - mse: 0.0188\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0187 - mse: 0.0187\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0185 - mse: 0.0185\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0178 - mse: 0.0178\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0174 - mse: 0.0174\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0177 - mse: 0.0177\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0178 - mse: 0.0178\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0161 - mse: 0.0161\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0160 - mse: 0.0160\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0161 - mse: 0.0161\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0160 - mse: 0.0160\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0156 - mse: 0.0156\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0151 - mse: 0.0151\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0151 - mse: 0.0151\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0148 - mse: 0.0148\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0148 - mse: 0.0148\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0150 - mse: 0.0150\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0138 - mse: 0.0138\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0137 - mse: 0.0137\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0143 - mse: 0.0143\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0136 - mse: 0.0136\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0135 - mse: 0.0135\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0133 - mse: 0.0133\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0130 - mse: 0.0130\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0127 - mse: 0.0127\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0132 - mse: 0.0132\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0124 - mse: 0.0124\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0127 - mse: 0.0127\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0129 - mse: 0.0129\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0121 - mse: 0.0121\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0126 - mse: 0.0126\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0124 - mse: 0.0124\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0118 - mse: 0.0118\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0116 - mse: 0.0116\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0121 - mse: 0.0121\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0119 - mse: 0.0119\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0112 - mse: 0.0112\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0113 - mse: 0.0113\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0121 - mse: 0.0121\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0108 - mse: 0.0108\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0111 - mse: 0.0111\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0111 - mse: 0.0111\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0108 - mse: 0.0108\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0107 - mse: 0.0107\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0107 - mse: 0.0107\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0103 - mse: 0.0103\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0108 - mse: 0.0108\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0103 - mse: 0.0103\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0106 - mse: 0.0106\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0099 - mse: 0.0099\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0102 - mse: 0.0102\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0100 - mse: 0.0100A\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0099 - mse: 0.0099\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0101 - mse: 0.0101\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0105 - mse: 0.0105\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0095 - mse: 0.0095\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0099 - mse: 0.0099\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0097 - mse: 0.0097\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0098 - mse: 0.0098\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0093 - mse: 0.0093\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0101 - mse: 0.0101\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 1s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0092 - mse: 0.0092\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0094 - mse: 0.0094\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0090 - mse: 0.0090\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0090 - mse: 0.0090\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 4s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0089 - mse: 0.0089\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0098 - mse: 0.0098\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0084 - mse: 0.0084\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0096 - mse: 0.0096\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0089 - mse: 0.0089\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0086 - mse: 0.0086\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0091 - mse: 0.0091\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0085 - mse: 0.0085\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0092 - mse: 0.0092\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0093 - mse: 0.0093\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0085 - mse: 0.0085\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0088 - mse: 0.0088\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0095 - mse: 0.0095\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0087 - mse: 0.0087\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0086 - mse: 0.0086\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0090 - mse: 0.0090\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0093 - mse: 0.0093\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "721/721 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0086 - mse: 0.0086\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9903261866844993\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9900902481295133\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 60 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'E1_Income support', 'total_cases',\n",
      "       'total_deaths', 'date_60', 'date_60', 'total_cases_60',\n",
      "       'total_deaths_60'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 60 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_deaths_60\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'E1_Income support', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "E1_Income support\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                180       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 396\n",
      "Trainable params: 396\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.9117 - mse: 0.9117\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.8019 - mse: 0.8019\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.7274 - mse: 0.7274\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.6669 - mse: 0.6669\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.2943 - mse: 0.2943\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0924 - mse: 0.0924\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0732 - mse: 0.0732\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0648 - mse: 0.0648\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0594 - mse: 0.0594\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0552 - mse: 0.0552\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0520 - mse: 0.0520\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0456 - mse: 0.0456\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0423 - mse: 0.0423\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0398 - mse: 0.0398\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0372 - mse: 0.0372\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0371 - mse: 0.0371\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0347 - mse: 0.0347\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0337 - mse: 0.0337\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0339 - mse: 0.0339\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0330 - mse: 0.0330\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0324 - mse: 0.0324\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0309 - mse: 0.0309\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0319 - mse: 0.0319\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0298 - mse: 0.0298\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0294 - mse: 0.0294\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0290 - mse: 0.0290\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0273 - mse: 0.0273\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0275 - mse: 0.0275\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0262 - mse: 0.0262\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0257 - mse: 0.0257\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0279 - mse: 0.0279\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0257 - mse: 0.0257\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0248 - mse: 0.0248\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0241 - mse: 0.0241\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0235 - mse: 0.0235\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0226 - mse: 0.0226\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0223 - mse: 0.0223\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0230 - mse: 0.0230\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0217 - mse: 0.0217\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0217 - mse: 0.0217\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0215 - mse: 0.0215\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0210 - mse: 0.0210\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0207 - mse: 0.0207\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0206 - mse: 0.0206\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0204 - mse: 0.0204\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0207 - mse: 0.0207\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0207 - mse: 0.0207\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0218 - mse: 0.0218\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0195 - mse: 0.0195\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0198 - mse: 0.0198\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0205 - mse: 0.0205\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0197 - mse: 0.0197\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0193 - mse: 0.0193\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0210 - mse: 0.0210\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0190 - mse: 0.0190\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0192 - mse: 0.0192\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0188 - mse: 0.0188\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0188 - mse: 0.0188\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0192 - mse: 0.0192\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0181 - mse: 0.0181\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0184 - mse: 0.0184\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0186 - mse: 0.0186\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0187 - mse: 0.0187\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0201 - mse: 0.0201\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0190 - mse: 0.0190\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0176 - mse: 0.0176\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0184 - mse: 0.0184\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0183 - mse: 0.0183\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0178 - mse: 0.0178\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0184 - mse: 0.0184\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0176 - mse: 0.0176\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0176 - mse: 0.0176\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0178 - mse: 0.0178\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0176 - mse: 0.0176\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0188 - mse: 0.0188\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0174 - mse: 0.0174\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0171 - mse: 0.0171\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0172 - mse: 0.0172\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0170 - mse: 0.0170\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0175 - mse: 0.0175\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0184 - mse: 0.0184\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0174 - mse: 0.0174\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0170 - mse: 0.0170\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0172 - mse: 0.0172\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0170 - mse: 0.0170\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0172 - mse: 0.0172\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0175 - mse: 0.0175\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0168 - mse: 0.0168\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0174 - mse: 0.0174\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0169 - mse: 0.0169\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0179 - mse: 0.0179\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0165 - mse: 0.0165\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0167 - mse: 0.0167\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0175 - mse: 0.0175\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 3s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0161 - mse: 0.0161\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0167 - mse: 0.0167\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0168 - mse: 0.0168\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0162 - mse: 0.0162\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0170 - mse: 0.0170\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "648/648 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0168 - mse: 0.0168\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9840917218893156\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.989186430021925\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      ">>>>>>>> 75 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \n",
      "Index(['date', 'iso_code', 'population', 'population_density', 'median_age',\n",
      "       'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement',\n",
      "       'C8_International travel controls', 'E1_Income support', 'total_cases',\n",
      "       'total_deaths', 'date_75', 'date_75', 'total_cases_75',\n",
      "       'total_deaths_75'],\n",
      "      dtype='object')\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      " Training and testing - 75 days ahead\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "target_n = total_deaths_75\n",
      "\n",
      "features = ['population', 'population_density', 'median_age', 'C6_Stay at home requirements', 'C7_Restrictions on internal movement', 'C8_International travel controls', 'E1_Income support', 'total_cases', 'total_deaths']\n",
      "population\n",
      "\n",
      "population_density\n",
      "\n",
      "median_age\n",
      "\n",
      "C6_Stay at home requirements\n",
      "\n",
      "C7_Restrictions on internal movement\n",
      "\n",
      "C8_International travel controls\n",
      "\n",
      "E1_Income support\n",
      "\n",
      "total_cases\n",
      "\n",
      "total_deaths\n",
      "\n",
      "Model: \"sequential\"\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Layer (type)                 Output Shape              Param #   \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "dense (Dense)                (None, 18)                180       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_1 (Dense)              (None, 9)                 171       \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_2 (Dense)              (None, 4)                 40        \n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "dense_3 (Dense)              (None, 1)                 5         \n",
      "=================================================================\n",
      "Total params: 396\n",
      "Trainable params: 396\n",
      "Non-trainable params: 0\n",
      "_________________________________________________________________\n",
      "Epoch 1/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.4563 - mse: 0.4563\n",
      "Epoch 2/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.2147 - mse: 0.2147\n",
      "Epoch 3/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.1496 - mse: 0.1496\n",
      "Epoch 4/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.1167 - mse: 0.1167\n",
      "Epoch 5/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0959 - mse: 0.0959\n",
      "Epoch 6/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0829 - mse: 0.0829\n",
      "Epoch 7/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0714 - mse: 0.0714\n",
      "Epoch 8/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0646 - mse: 0.0646\n",
      "Epoch 9/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0611 - mse: 0.0611\n",
      "Epoch 10/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0577 - mse: 0.0577\n",
      "Epoch 11/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0549 - mse: 0.0549\n",
      "Epoch 12/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0526 - mse: 0.0526\n",
      "Epoch 13/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0514 - mse: 0.0514\n",
      "Epoch 14/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0505 - mse: 0.0505\n",
      "Epoch 15/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0492 - mse: 0.0492\n",
      "Epoch 16/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0491 - mse: 0.0491\n",
      "Epoch 17/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0467 - mse: 0.0467\n",
      "Epoch 18/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0475 - mse: 0.0475\n",
      "Epoch 19/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0459 - mse: 0.0459\n",
      "Epoch 20/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0447 - mse: 0.0447\n",
      "Epoch 21/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0448 - mse: 0.0448\n",
      "Epoch 22/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0448 - mse: 0.0448\n",
      "Epoch 23/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0445 - mse: 0.0445\n",
      "Epoch 24/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0425 - mse: 0.0425\n",
      "Epoch 25/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0416 - mse: 0.0416\n",
      "Epoch 26/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0416 - mse: 0.0416\n",
      "Epoch 27/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0415 - mse: 0.0415\n",
      "Epoch 28/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0407 - mse: 0.0407\n",
      "Epoch 29/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0401 - mse: 0.0401\n",
      "Epoch 30/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 2ms/step - loss: 0.0388 - mse: 0.0388\n",
      "Epoch 31/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0386 - mse: 0.0386\n",
      "Epoch 32/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0389 - mse: 0.0389\n",
      "Epoch 33/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0381 - mse: 0.0381\n",
      "Epoch 34/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0373 - mse: 0.0373\n",
      "Epoch 35/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0375 - mse: 0.0375\n",
      "Epoch 36/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0366 - mse: 0.0366\n",
      "Epoch 37/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0357 - mse: 0.0357\n",
      "Epoch 38/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0360 - mse: 0.0360\n",
      "Epoch 39/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0356 - mse: 0.0356\n",
      "Epoch 40/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0355 - mse: 0.0355\n",
      "Epoch 41/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0344 - mse: 0.0344\n",
      "Epoch 42/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0361 - mse: 0.0361\n",
      "Epoch 43/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0344 - mse: 0.0344\n",
      "Epoch 44/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0340 - mse: 0.0340\n",
      "Epoch 45/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0339 - mse: 0.0339\n",
      "Epoch 46/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0341 - mse: 0.0341\n",
      "Epoch 47/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0333 - mse: 0.0333\n",
      "Epoch 48/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0331 - mse: 0.0331\n",
      "Epoch 49/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0328 - mse: 0.0328\n",
      "Epoch 50/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0320 - mse: 0.0320\n",
      "Epoch 51/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0322 - mse: 0.0322\n",
      "Epoch 52/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0336 - mse: 0.0336\n",
      "Epoch 53/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0319 - mse: 0.0319\n",
      "Epoch 54/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0316 - mse: 0.0316\n",
      "Epoch 55/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0317 - mse: 0.0317\n",
      "Epoch 56/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 3s 5ms/step - loss: 0.0310 - mse: 0.0310\n",
      "Epoch 57/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0315 - mse: 0.0315\n",
      "Epoch 58/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0306 - mse: 0.0306\n",
      "Epoch 59/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0301 - mse: 0.0301\n",
      "Epoch 60/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0305 - mse: 0.0305\n",
      "Epoch 61/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0301 - mse: 0.0301\n",
      "Epoch 62/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0304 - mse: 0.0304\n",
      "Epoch 63/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0296 - mse: 0.0296\n",
      "Epoch 64/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0304 - mse: 0.0304\n",
      "Epoch 65/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0293 - mse: 0.0293\n",
      "Epoch 66/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0303 - mse: 0.0303\n",
      "Epoch 67/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0296 - mse: 0.0296\n",
      "Epoch 68/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0284 - mse: 0.0284\n",
      "Epoch 69/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0287 - mse: 0.0287\n",
      "Epoch 70/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0283 - mse: 0.0283\n",
      "Epoch 71/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0286 - mse: 0.0286\n",
      "Epoch 72/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0287 - mse: 0.0287\n",
      "Epoch 73/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0283 - mse: 0.0283\n",
      "Epoch 74/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0277 - mse: 0.0277\n",
      "Epoch 75/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0277 - mse: 0.0277\n",
      "Epoch 76/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 1s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0273 - mse: 0.0273\n",
      "Epoch 77/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0278 - mse: 0.0278\n",
      "Epoch 78/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0285 - mse: 0.0285\n",
      "Epoch 79/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0273 - mse: 0.0273\n",
      "Epoch 80/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0273 - mse: 0.0273\n",
      "Epoch 81/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0261 - mse: 0.0261\n",
      "Epoch 82/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0271 - mse: 0.0271\n",
      "Epoch 83/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0268 - mse: 0.0268\n",
      "Epoch 84/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0270 - mse: 0.0270\n",
      "Epoch 85/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0258 - mse: 0.0258\n",
      "Epoch 86/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0262 - mse: 0.0262\n",
      "Epoch 87/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0263 - mse: 0.0263\n",
      "Epoch 88/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0260 - mse: 0.0260\n",
      "Epoch 89/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0261 - mse: 0.0261\n",
      "Epoch 90/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0264 - mse: 0.0264\n",
      "Epoch 91/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0261 - mse: 0.0261\n",
      "Epoch 92/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0253 - mse: 0.0253\n",
      "Epoch 93/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0260 - mse: 0.0260\n",
      "Epoch 94/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0254 - mse: 0.0254\n",
      "Epoch 95/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0257 - mse: 0.0257\n",
      "Epoch 96/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0250 - mse: 0.0250\n",
      "Epoch 97/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0251 - mse: 0.0251\n",
      "Epoch 98/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 4ms/step - loss: 0.0248 - mse: 0.0248\n",
      "Epoch 99/100\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0249 - mse: 0.0249\n",
      "Epoch 100/100\n",
      "582/582 [==============================] - 2s 3ms/step - loss: 0.0248 - mse: 0.0248\n",
      "Training r2_score = 0.9769367641577494\n",
      "Testing  r2_score = 0.9751905491547307\n"
     ]
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Regression Analysis\n",
    "\n",
    "# Initialize the list of models\n",
    "models = []\n",
    "\n",
    "# For each of the feature lists under consideration\n",
    "for n,df in enumerate(dfs):\n",
    "\n",
    "    # Get the features\n",
    "    features = df.columns\n",
    "    \n",
    "    # Get the list of future days dataframes\n",
    "    days = get_days(df)\n",
    "        \n",
    "    # For each of the targets, namely total_cases and total_deaths\n",
    "    for target in [\"total_cases\",\"total_deaths\"]:\n",
    "        \n",
    "        print(f\"{target} %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%>\\n\\n\")\n",
    "        \n",
    "        # For each day in future ['30','45','60','75']\n",
    "        for i,day in enumerate(future):\n",
    "            \n",
    "            print(f\"\\n\\n>>>>>>>> {day} >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> \")\n",
    "            \n",
    "            # Merge the feature dataframe with the day dataframe\n",
    "            df_n = df.merge(days[i],on=[\"date\",\"iso_code\"],how=\"left\")\n",
    "            print(df_n.columns)\n",
    "            \n",
    "            # Remove the target columns from merged dataframe\n",
    "            features = [f for f in features if re.search(\"_\\d{2}$\",f) == None]\n",
    "            features = features[2:]  # Remove date and iso_code\n",
    "            \n",
    "            # Set the number of input features for the neural networks based on the current feature set\n",
    "            layers[\"number_input_features\"] = len(features)\n",
    "\n",
    "            # Create an instance of the ml class to start machine learning\n",
    "            md = ml(df=df_n,\n",
    "                    feature_set=features,\n",
    "                    test_size=0.05,\n",
    "                    title=f\"{target} - {day} days out\",\n",
    "                    target=target,\n",
    "                    period=day,\n",
    "                    **layers\n",
    "                   )\n",
    "            \n",
    "            # Train and test the machine learning mode over 100 epochs\n",
    "            md.train_test(epochs=100)\n",
    "\n",
    "            # Append the instance of the ml class into the models list\n",
    "            models.append(md)\n"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": null,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": []
  }
 ],
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